DTN Midday Livestock Comments

Feeder Cattle Futures Tumble Midmorning

Rick Kment
By  Rick Kment , DTN Analyst
(DTN photo by Russ Quinn)

GENERAL COMMENTS:

Livestock futures are moving lower Monday morning with feeder cattle futures leading the downward movement with prices $3 per cwt lower in most contracts. This is putting pressure in all cattle markets, and keeping most buyers on the sidelines. Lean hog prices are narrowly lower, but still unable to draw buyers to the table. Corn prices are higher in light trade. December corn futures are 6 cents higher in front month December contracts. Stock markets are lower in light trade. The Dow Jones is 47 points lower while Nasdaq is down 23 points.

LIVE CATTLE:

Live cattle futures have eroded at midday based on follow-through pressure in feeder cattle markets. The lack of additional buyer support on the last trading session of November is creating additional concerns of increased late-day pressure filtering into the complex before closing bell. Cash cattle market activity remains quiet with showlists mixed to generally smaller for the week. This is curious given the generally light trade seen last week. Bids and asking prices are undeveloped, although packers are expected to be extremely short bought going into the week. Beef cut-outs at midday are higher, $0.66 higher (select) and up $1.19 per cwt (choice) with light movement of 47 total loads reported (21 loads of choice cuts, 5 loads of select cuts, 7 loads of trimmings, 14 loads of ground beef).

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FEEDER CATTLE:

Triple-digit losses are seen through feeder cattle trade with nearby and deferred contracts hovering around $3-per-cwt losses. The lack of support in cash markets late last week as well as no additional buyer support in the live cattle market is allowing feeder cattle markets to erode in the last day of November. The volatility seen in the feeder cattle market could create some wide-ranging price swings later in the week, which could quickly bounce back from these late-month losses.

LEAN HOGS:

Light pressure is seen through the lean hog futures market early Monday as late-month positioning is backing away from holiday buyer support. Even though some additional long-term buyer support continues to be established after moving off of seasonal lows, traders are pulling away from prices in December lean hog futures, which may allow for soft price levels at the end of the trading session. Cash prices are higher on the National Direct morning cash hog report. The weighted average price fell $1.02 per cwt to $49.71 per cwt with the range from $47.00 to $52.25 per cwt on 2.285 head reported sold. Cash prices are unreported due to confidentiality on the Iowa Minnesota Direct morning cash hog report. The weighted average price added $0.31 per cwt to $52.21 per cwt with the range from $47.00 to $52.25 per cwt on 2.285 head reported sold. The National Pork Plant Report reported 114 loads selling with prices up $1.29 per cwt. Lean hog index for 11/19 is at $55.52 down 0.35, with a projected two-day index of $55.37, down 0.37.

Rick Kment can be reached at rick.kment@dtn.com

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Rick Kment