DTN Weekly Distillers Grains Update

Minnesota Corn Growers Publish 2015 Research Summary

A new summary of all research projects funded through the state corn check-off was recently published by the Minnesota Corn Growers Association, including research on dried distillers grains.

The 2015 Research Summary contains all completed research projects funded since 2008, according to Adam Czech, public relations manager for the Minnesota Corn Growers Association.

Minnesota's corn farmers support $4 million in third-party research projects annually. The research projects contained in the summary were all conducted through third-party institutions such as the University of Minnesota and other accredited universities. The majority of the funding for the projects came from Minnesota's corn check-off, a voluntary, 1-cent fee paid by corn farmers for every bushel of corn sold.

The summary was compiled in order to gather all research projects in one publication and make the information as easy to read as possible, Czech said.

"The check-off helps fund so much great research conducted in Minnesota through the University of Minnesota and other great partners," he said. "Sometimes, communicating the results of such research can be a challenge, so we wanted to take all projects in one publication."

A hard copy of the summary was also mailed to every farmer in Minnesota who farms 100 acres of corn or more.

"We wanted corn farmers to have a copy of what their check-off investments have been doing, so they can use that research to better their own operations," Czech said.

The research projects contained in the summary cover a wide range of topics important to corn farmers and are divided into six categories: agronomy and plant genetics, corn utilization, livestock, fuels and emissions, soil fertility and water quality.

The publication contains summaries of 16 research projects on the use of DDG, including:

-- Increasing the Usage Level of Corn and Distillers Grains in Market Turkey Diets Through the Use of Supplemental Amino Acids (2013)-Sally Noll, University of Minnesota.

-- Energy Utilization of Oil Extracted-Dried Distillers Grains with Solubles (OE-DDGS) in Turkeys (2012)-Sally Noll, Gerald Shurson and Brian Kerr, University of Minnesota and United States Department of Agriculture-Agricultural Research Service (USDA-ARS).

-- Vitamin E and Selenium Status of Pigs Fed DDGS Diets and Relationship to Mulberry Heart Disease (2011)-Gerald Shurson, University of Minnesota.

-- Investigation of Relationships of Chemical Composition, Viscosity, and Metabolizable Energy of Distillers Grains for Poultry (2011)-Sally Noll and Alexa Copeland, University of Minnesota.

-- Fate and Biological Activity of Antibiotics used in Ethanol Production (2010)-Gerald Shurson, Alfredo DiCostanzo, Devan Paulus-Compart, Angela Carlson, Grant Crawford, Ryan Fink and Francisco Diez-Gonzalez, University of Minnesota.

-- Determination of Potential Human Health Benefits from Diets Containing Corn Distiller's Co-products (2010)-G. C. Shurson, P. E. Urriola, R. Shin, X. Zhang, C. M. Gallaher and D.D. Gallaher, University of Minnesota and Agricultural Utilization Research Institute (AURI).

The 2015 Research Summary can be accessed online at www.mncorn.org, then by scrolling down and clicking on "2015 Research Summary." The summary can be read online or can be downloaded at no charge.

Czech added that anyone wanting a hard copy of the summary can contact the Minnesota Corn Growers Association office at (952) 233-0333 and one will be mailed out to them.

Distributing the information is all about communication, Czech said.

"There is so much great research Minnesota corn growers are supporting," he said, "but sometimes research can be hard to understand with all the jargon. We wanted to put all the information in one spot and have it written in a way that is easy to digest, whether you are a researcher, farmer or non-farmer."

Cheryl Anderson can be reached at cheryl.anderson@dtn.com

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IN THE NEWS

Economists Look at DDGS role in Ethanol Profitability

A recent FarmDoc Daily post examined the price risk of dried distillers grains with solubles on the profitability of ethanol plants.

The article, "Ethanol Production Profits: the Risk from Lower Prices of Distillers Grains," by University of Illinois economists Scott Irwin and Darrel Good (http://bit.ly/…), looked at the history of ethanol production. It focused on high profitability in 2014 and how falling crude oil, gasoline and ethanol prices are driven by recent profit declines.

However, the article also stressed the role distillers dried grains with solubles play in offsetting ethanol price declines and examined the risk of declining DDGS prices to ethanol profits in coming months.

Prices of DDGS have varied, but tend to mirror the price of corn, so that higher profits from DDGS are associated with higher ethanol production costs. If the ratio of the price of DDGS to the price of corn is high, DDGS contributes more to profits and vice versa. So a decline in DDGS prices would result in a decline in net returns, if all other prices are unchanged.

The authors suggest the possibility of a risk for falling DDGS prices in coming months, even with a decline in corn/soybean meal prices. Such a decline would result in decreased profits for plants unless adjustments are made in prices of other parts of production returns and/or costs. Some plants could experiences profits below the cost of production for at least a time.

The article suggests that the good news is that domestic and export ethanol demand will be strong enough to prevent a large reduction in production. Therefore, it will be necessary to increase ethanol prices to motivate sufficient production, even if DDGS prices fall and no prices adjustments for corn occur.


Grains Council Targets Caribbean Markets

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The U.S. Grains Council recently sent a team to the Caribbean island of Hispaniola to educate an audience of Dominican corn buyers and end users on the findings of the council's 2014-2015 Corn Harvest Quality Report, according to an article on the council's website (http://bit.ly/…).

The market for U.S. coarse grains and co-products such as dried distillers grains have a market advantage in such regions in terms of freight costs. For instance, the Dominican Republic is only located 800 miles away from the U.S. and as a corn-deficit country, import about 1.2 million metric tons of corn annually.

The U.S. share of the Dominican corn market has been experiencing encroachment from South American exporters. During the 2009/2010 marketing year, the U.S. had nearly 90% of the Dominican corn market; however, only 600,000 tons were exported to the Dominican Republic in the 2013/2014 marketing year.

The council's team fielded questions from Dominican buyers, who said they have been more satisfied with the quality of U.S. corn this year than in the past, citing concerns about broken corn and foreign material levels.

The council said it will continue to target the Caribbean region with a goal of recapturing U.S. corn market share in the area, including the Dominican Republic.

Cheryl Anderson can be reached at cheryl.anderson@dtn.com

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DTN WEEKLY DDG SPOT PRICES

CURRENT PREVIOUS
COMPANY STATE 3/20/2015 3/13/2015 CHANGE
Bartlett and Company, Kansas City, MO (816-753-6300)
Missouri Dry $190 $190 $0
Modified $90 $90 $0
CHS, Minneapolis, MN (800-769-1066)
Illinois Dry $200 $195 $5
Indiana Dry $200 $195 $5
Iowa Dry $190 $185 $5
Michigan Dry NO $200
Minnesota Dry $170 $170 $0
North Dakota Dry $170 $170 $0
New York Dry $195 $205 -$10
South Dakota Dry $170 $170 $0
MGP Ingredients, Atchison, KS (800-255-0302 Ext. 5253)
Kansas Dry $180 $180 $0
POET Nutrition, Sioux Falls, SD (888-327-8799)
Indiana Dry $175 $170 $5
Iowa Dry $160 $160 $0
Michigan Dry $175 $165 $10
Minnesota Dry $165 $165 $0
Missouri Dry $185 $185 $0
Ohio Dry $165 $165 $0
South Dakota Dry $160 $165 -$5
United BioEnergy, Wichita, KS (316-616-3521)
Kansas Dry $190 $190 $0
Wet $75 $75 $0
Illinois Dry $200 $200 $0
Nebraska Dry $190 $190 $0
Wet $75 $75 $0
U.S. Commodities, Minneapolis, MN (888-293-1640)
Illinois Dry $190 $190 $0
Indiana Dry $185 $185 $0
Iowa Dry $175 $175 $0
Michigan Dry $190 $190 $0
Minnesota Dry $170 $170 $0
Nebraska Dry $170 $175 -$5
New York Dry $195 $195 $0
North Dakota Dry $190 $190 $0
Ohio Dry $190 $185 $5
South Dakota Dry $175 $175 $0
Wisconsin Dry $190 $185 $5
Valero Energy Corp., San Antonio, TX (402-727-5300)
Indiana Dry $185 $185 $0
Iowa Dry $160 $160 $0
Minnesota Dry $165 $165 $0
Nebraska Dry $160 $160 $0
Ohio Dry $185 $185 $0
South Dakota Dry $155 $155 $0
Western Milling, Goshen, California (559-302-1074)
California Dry $248 $247 $1
*Prices listed per ton.
Weekly Average $179 $178 $1
The weekly average prices above reflect only those companies DTN
collects spot prices from. States include: Missouri, Iowa, Nebraska,
Kansas, Illinois, Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Michigan,
Wisconsin and Indiana. Prices for Pennsylvania, New York and
California are not included in the averages.

*The spot prices gathered by DTN are only intended to reflect general market trends and may vary. Please contact individual plant or merchandiser for exact prices.

If you would be willing to take a weekly phone call and have your distiller grains spot prices listed in this feature, please contact Cheryl Anderson at (308) 224-1527 or (800) 369-7875, or e-mail cheryl.anderson@dtn.com.

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VALUE OF DDG VS. CORN & SOYBEAN MEAL
Settlement Price: Quote Date Bushel Short Ton
Corn 3/19/2015 $3.7350 $133.39
Soybean Meal 3/19/2015 $319.30
DDG Weekly Average Spot Price $179.00
DDG Value Relative to: 3/20 3/13 3/6
Corn 134.19% 130.39% 129.48%
Soybean Meal 56.06% 51.82% 52.93%
Cost Per Unit of Protein:
DDG $7.16 $7.12 $7.08
Soybean Meal $6.72 $7.23 $7.04
Notes:
Corn and soybean prices taken from DTN Market Quotes. DDG
price represents the average spot price from Midwest
companies collected on Thursday afternoons. Soybean meal
cost per unit of protein is cost per ton divided by 47.5.
DDG cost per unit of protein is cost per ton divided by 25.

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USDA MARKET NEWS/DISTILLER GRAINS PRICES

USDA WEEKLY DISTILLERS GRAINS SUMMARY (Mar 13, 2015)

Dried Modified Wet
FOB PLANT PRICES PER TON
Iowa 150.00-185.00 75.00-85.00 45.00-52.00
Minnesota 155.00-175.00 73.00 48.00-60.00
Nebraska 160.00-180.00 72.00-85.00 53.00-55.00
South Dakota 156.00-171.00 75.00-85.50 53.00-58.00
Wisconsin 175.00-190.00 80.00-85.00 NQ
Eastern Corn Belt 170.00-210.00 77.00-87.00 NQ
Kansas 185.00-205.00 NQ 60.00-70.00
Northern Missouri 188.00-210.00 NQ 63.00-71.00
DELIVERED PRICES PER TON
CIF NOLA 228.00-235.00
Pacific Northwest 229.00-243.00
California 233.00-245.00
Texas Border (metric ton) 260.00-275.00
Lethbridge AB 200.00
Chicago 195.00-212.00

Dried Distillers Grain: 10% Moisture

Modified Wet Distillers: 50-55% Moisture

Wet Distillers Grains: 65-70% Moisture

CALIFORNIA GRAIN AND FEED REPORT (Thurs Mar 12, 2015)

Distillers Dry Grains (includes fuel)

CURRENT LAST REPORT LAST YEAR
Mar 10, 2015 Mar 3, 2015 Mar 11, 2014
Rail to California Points 240.00-249.00 235.00-249.00 332.00
FOB Truck to California Points 242.00-245.00 244.00-251.00 NA

PACIFIC NORTHWEST WEEKLY FEEDSTUFFS (Tue Mar 17, 2015)

Distillers Dried Grains: Offers for Distillers Dried Grains delivered in September by rail to feed mills in the Pacific Northwest were 3.00 to 6.00 lower from 230.00-242.00. Offers for distillers dried grains trans-loaded onto trucks and delivered to Willamette Valley dairies were also 3.00 to 6.00 lower from 247.00-257.00.

*All prices quoted per ton unless otherwise noted.

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NASS/USDA MONTHLY CO-PRODUCTS PRODUCTION

Dry and Wet Mill, Co-products and Products Produced - United States

Mar 2, 2015

Highlights:

Dry mill co-product production of distillers dried grains with solubles (DDGS) was 1.86 million tons during January 2015 down 3% from December 2014, but up 5% from November 2014. Distillers wet grains (DWG) 65% or more moisture was 1.34 million tons in January 2015 down 5% from December 2014 and down 1% from November 2014.

Wet mill corn gluten feed production was 321.8 thousand tons during January 2015 down 2% from December 2014, but up 9% from November 2014. Wet corn gluten feed 40 to 60% moisture was 313.4 thousand tons in January 2015 down 7% from December 2014 and down 1% from November 2014.

Co-products and Products Nov 2014 Dec 2014 Jan 2015
Dry Mill
Condensed distillers solubles (CDS-syrup) 132,236 172,082 162,626
Corn oil 107,190 97,380 105,356
Distillers dried grains (DDG) 419,028 448,551 438,936
Distillers dried grains with solubles (DDGS) 1,770,904 1,919,823 1,862,550
Modified distillers wet grains (DWG) <65% moisture 1,354,729 1,411,411 1,341,938
Modified distillers wet grains (DWG) 40-64% moisture 472,819 503,258 480,134
Wet Mill
Corn germ meal 66,384 75,031 71,492
Corn gluten feed 295,030 329,431 321,768
Corn gluten meal 89,593 94,777 90,617
Corn oil 40,980 44,551 41,961
Wet corn gluten feed 40-60% moisture 317,273 338,077 313,400

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RFA WEEKLY U.S. LIVESTOCK FEED PRODUCTION

CO-PRODUCT OUTPUTS (metric tons)
Week Ending Distillers Grains Corn Gluten Feed Corn Gluten Meal Total Feed Corn Oil (lbs.)
2/20/15 94222 9675 1791 105688 5571232
2/27/15 92630 9511 1761 103902 5477103
3/06/15 93923 9644 1786 105353 5553583
3/13/15 94222 9675 1792 105688 5571232

*Information from 2010 Weekly U.S. Fuel Ethanol/Livestock Feed Production report (http://www.ethanolrfa.org/…)

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DDG LINKS/RESOURCES

Organizations

*Distillers Grains Technology Council

http://www.distillersgrains.org

*National Corn Growers Association Corn Distillers Grains Brochure

http://ncga.com/…

*Iowa Corn

http://www.iowacorn.org/…

Nebraska Corn Board

http://www.nebraskacorn.org/…

*Renewable Fuels Association - Ethanol Co-Products

http://www.ethanolrfa.org/…

*American Coalition for Ethanol

http://www.ethanol.org/…

*U.S. Grains Council

http://www.grains.org/…

*South Dakota Corn Utilization Council

http://www.drieddistillersgrains.com

Government Sites

*Iowa Department of Agriculture and Land Stewardship/Office of Renewable Fuels & Coproducts

http://www.distillersgrains.com

University Sites

*University of Minnesota - Distillers Grains By-Products in Livestock

and Poultry Feed

http://www.ddgs.umn.edu

*University of Illinois - Illinois Livestock Integrated Focus Team Distillers Grains site

http://ilift.traill.uiuc.edu/…

*University of Nebraska - Beef Cattle Production By-Product Feeds site

http://beef.unl.edu/…

*University of Nebraska Extension

http://ianrpubs.unl.edu/…

*Iowa Beef Center - Iowa State University

http://www.iowabeefcenter.org/…

*University of Missouri - Byproducts Resource Page

http://agebb.missouri.edu/…

*South Dakota State University - Dairy Science Department - Dairy cattle research

http://dairysci.sdstate.edu/…

(select "Distillers Grains" from the topic menu)

*Purdue University Renewable Energy Web Site

http://www.extension.purdue.edu/…

(select "Biofuels Co-Products from the menu)

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DDG CONFERENCES

*Distillers Grains Technology Council Inc.'s 19th Annual Distillers Grains Symposium

The Distillers Grains Technology Council will hold its 19th Annual Distillers Grains Symposium on May 13-14, 2015, at the Sheraton Crown Center at Kansas City, Missouri. For information, contact the DGTC office at (515) 294-4019 or (800) 759-3448, or check the DGTC website (http://www.distillersgrains.org).

(If you are sponsoring or know of any event, conference or workshop on distillers grains, and would like to list it in the DTN Weekly Distillers Grains Update, please contact Cheryl Anderson (see contact info below).

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We welcome any comments/suggestions for this feature. Please let us know what information is valuable to you that we could include in the Distillers Grains Weekly Update. Please feel free to contact Cheryl Anderson at (402) 364-2183, or e-mail cheryl.anderson@dtn.com.

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