Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- A favorable outlook for the next few days for crops in Brazil and Argentina, and a warm, dry trend for the Southern Plains are the primary weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

MUCH COLDER WEATHER FOR MIDWEST/DELTA

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for episodes of mostly light snow that may mean minor delays to transport, at times, during the next five days. Very cold weather Friday and Saturday nights are expected, but probably not cold enough to harm wheat in the east and south Midwest or the north Delta. It will be not so cold later in the period.

WARM, DRY TREND FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

Wednesday's very warm weather in the Central and Southern Plains would probably be a concern if it were to continue: temperatures reached up to 80 degrees Fahrenheit as far north as south-central Kansas. However, it should be cooler during the next five days. Precipitation chances remain fairly limited during the next 10 days. Soil moisture is adequate for current needs of wheat; however, soil moisture will be diminishing. More rain will be needed come spring.

PERIODIC BRAZIL RAINFALL

Across Brazil, periodic showers and thundershowers will maintain adequate to surplus soil moisture for soybeans and corn from Rio Grande do Sul to Parana. A warmer, drier trend north of Parana will favor maturing crops and harvesting.

FAVORABLE ARGENTINA RAIN

Periodic rain chances and brief hot spells mostly favors corn, soybean and sunflower at this time for Argentina.

MILD RUSSIA TREND

For Russia and Ukraine, temperatures at near to mostly above normal and periodic light to locally moderate precipitation will favor winter grains in the region. However, this pattern will also lead to diminished snow cover there. Snow cover is needed to protect the winter grains from potential winter kill in case the weather turns colder.

COLDER WEATHER FOR CHINA

In China's central crop belt, higher temperatures early this week will give way to somewhat colder weather during the weekend or early next week. Rain is expected through south and east wheat areas during the next two to three days. This will provide favorable moisture for wheat. Snow with this system should be limited.

WARM TREND FOR SOUTH AFRICA

The South Africa weather pattern suggests near- to above-normal temperatures during the next seven days, and near- to below-normal rainfall. However, a few showers and afternoon or evening thundershowers are possible at times. Reproductive and filling crops could use a little more rain, especially in the western growing belt.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

(AG)

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