Market Impact Weather

OMAHA (DTN) -- High temperatures and little rainfall for the Midwest, a drier and hotter pattern for the Southern Plains, and moderate to heavy rains later this week for the Northern Plains and Canadian Prairies, are the primary weather items for the commodity trade's attention Wednesday.

HIGH TEMPERATURES CONTINUES FOR MIDWEST

The DTN ag weather forecast calls for high temperatures and little rainfall in the Midwest to favor maturing crops during the next five to seven days while maintaining high stress on late-filling crops, especially in areas where crops have shallow roots and are already in less-than-ideal condition.

DRY, HOT WEEK FOR SOUTHERN PLAINS

In the Central and Southern Plains, a turn to drier and hotter weather during the next five to seven days may be somewhat unfavorable for late-filling crops, but it will favor maturing crops and early harvesting. Dry, warm to hot weather will also diminish soil moisture for planting the next winter wheat crop. Longer-range charts are not as certain, as there is at least some chance for rains to develop in Kansas and Nebraska.

DELTA HEAT STRETCHES ON

In the Delta, drier, warmer to hotter weather will favor maturing crops and harvests at this time. Late-filling crops may come under some stress, but it is getting a little too late for this to have a significant impact.

RAIN LATER IN WEEK FOR NORTHERN PLAINS

In the Northern Plains, no significant concerns for the spring wheat or oats harvest at this time. Wet weather later this week with moderate to heavy rains may be somewhat unfavorable for maturing crops while favoring late-filling crops.

UNFAVORABLE HEAVY RAINS AHEAD FOR PRAIRIES

In the Canadian Prairies, wet and then cooler weather is expected at the end of this week through early next week with possibly a few inches of rain in some places. This would be unfavorable for maturing crops and could delay the harvests. Frost may become possible in the northwest later in the period, but this is not unusual for this date. At this time, it isn't expected to be a season-ending freeze.

EUROPEAN RAINS

Rains have hit France, Benelux and Germany during the past 48 hours.

This may be somewhat unfavorable for maturing summer crops and harvesting, but it will provide favorable moisture for early needs of winter grains and oilseeds. East Europe continued fairly hot and mostly dry yesterday. This increases stress to late-filling summer crops and early-planted winter crops. These areas should turn cooler and then much cooler later this weekend and early next week, along with some increase in scattered thundershowers.

RAINS IN CHINA

A recent increase in rain and showers through northeast and central China will favor late-filling corn and soybean crops, especially after mid-summer dry and hotter weather. Wet weather may be somewhat unfavorable for any early-maturing crops at this time. Rainfall over portions of the North China Plain helps replenish soil moisture for winter wheat.

HOT SPELL INTENSIFIES IN RUSSIA, UKRAINE

High temperatures reached 91 to 100 Fahrenheit (33 to 38 Celsius) yesterday in western Ukraine, southern Belarus and Moldova as a late-season hot spell intensifies. This heat and dryness should shift through east Ukraine and into southwest Russia during the next few days. This increases the risk to late-filling summer crops and early planted winter grains. The forecast suggests a chance for needed showers in western growing areas later in the five-to-seven-day period, while eastern areas remain drier and somewhat hotter.

DRY, HOT WEEK AHEAD IN INDIA

It appears likely, at this time, that west-central, northwest and north-central India and Pakistan will remain drier and hotter during the next seven to 10 days. This may signal an early withdrawal of the monsoon from these locations. Crop areas of the northwest and north have received significant monsoon rains and should be in good shape. Crops grown in Gujarat and Maharashtra will see diminishing soil moisture and increasing stress to filling cotton and groundnut crops. The soybean belt has seen a few scattered showers since last week and it is good shape.

Elaine Shein can be reached at elaine.shein@dtn.com

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