Market Matters Blog
Pat Hill DTN Markets Editor

Monday 02/08/10

Merchants Hike Bids Monday

Higher cash grain bids showed up at elevators and terminals Monday, as merchandisers tried to meet demand.

The DTN cash soybean index was the biggest beneficiary, gaining 16 cents to $8.84. The wheat indexes were up 10 to 13 cents and the corn index gained a nickel.

It sounds as if these higher bids didn't do much to shake any bushels loose from tight farmer hands. Dow Jones reported volume at primary terminals was down some 37 percent from a week ago, and another wave of storms could cut into commercial movement as well.

Where all this leaves the market ahead of the USDA report in the morning is the question. Prices are well below the levels on Jan. 11, the last report eve, so it seems fair to ask how much of what USDA has to say in the morning may already be priced into the market.

Several private analysts referred to today's activity as a short-covering rally, or pre-report position-squaring day. Does that mean it will take numbers well outside the range of pre-report guesses to trigger a market reaction?

Posted at 7:26PM CST 02/08/10 by Pat Hill
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