Ethanol Blog
Todd Neeley DTN Staff Reporter

Wednesday 03/10/10

US Biofuels Hurt if 2010 tax Break Expires

U.S. fuel ethanol and biodiesel production would be cut by 10 percent if Congress allows biofuel tax credits to expire this year, according to a new report from the Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute at the University of Missouri, Reuters said.

The FAPRI report also said that corn and soybean prices would fall by an estimated 15 cents per bushel.

The 45-cent ethanol blenders tax credit and the 54-cents tariff on ethanol imports are scheduled to expire at the end of 2010. The $1-a-gallon biodiesel tax credit was allowed to expire at the end of 2009 and could be renewed in a bill pending in the Senate.

FAPRI said ethanol production would fall by about 1.5 billion gallons per year without the tax breaks.

Biodiesel would lose about 10 percent of its production without the tax credit, producing about 100 million gallons a year between 2012 and 2014, according to FAPRI.

(Reuters, March 9, 2010)

(http://www.reuters.com/…)

DTN: The U.S. biodiesel industry has virtually shut down production. Producers were struggling even before the $1 tax credit expired. A renewal of the tax credit for one year would be helpful, but it would probably lack a sufficient market signal for biodiesel to go full speed ahead. That's why there has been talk that both ethanol and biodiesel will join forces to push for a longer-term extension of those credits. (Todd Neeley)

Posted at 10:06AM CST 03/10/10 by Todd Neeley
Comments (4)
Once again proving that biofuels need massive subsidies to be viable - even in the face of RFS useage mandates.
Posted by THOMAS ELAM at 9:21AM CST 03/11/10
Not so fast, gasoline has gone up by 20 cents per gallon where I live in the last few weeks, and corn prices are actually down to about $3.50 per bushel. If oil keeps going up due to peak oil, renewed economic growth, or a worthless dollar, ethanol may prove to be a whole lot more than just viable. I read an interesting statistic yesterday. The three states with the lowest unemployment rate are: North Dakota at 4.2%, Nebraska at 4.6% and South Dakota at 4.8%. All below 5%! Ever wonder where ethanol comes from? Nebraska - "The Good Life" Go get'um BIG RED!
Posted by Thomas Blazek at 7:58PM CST 03/12/10
being from nodak i can say that the reasons our economy has held up so well are many. we have a reemerging oil and coal resource in the west; but things never got blown out of reality when the rest of the country spiked out of control. the reason ethanol works here is BASIS!! elevators and railroads have been ripping us off for ages. you should see the size of some of these places. end users have had there day in the sun. i think it is due time for some producers to be able to get back on there feet up here with some fair grain prices for once. by the way, the massive subsidies still go to oil compinies, oops, i mean BLENDERS.
Posted by MICHAEL L. PROCHNOW at 9:59PM CDT 03/14/10
Michael, if the profit is going to blenders, couldn't ethanol producers behave like other refiners that buy and sell spreads? When the spread between ethanol and RBOB blows out, it is true that the blenders are having a field day. Could a knowledgeable producer play this spread to narrow a bit, or in some cases increase? Could a producer furthermore team up with other producers to control an elevator collectively? Conventional biodiesel producers have to be aware of the spread between soybean oil and heating oil when planning their production. Oil majors are constantly aware of the crack margins of gasoline and heating oil versus the price of crude. Today's financial markets run the show for refined products. It has absolutely nothing to do with fairness. It is the duty of the ethanol producer to create competitive business structures that foster sustainable growth.
Posted by Andrew Gray at 9:40AM CDT 03/15/10
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