Minding Ag's Business
Marcia Zarley Taylor DTN Executive Editor

Friday 09/07/07

Land Rent Shuffle Begins

Since the $4 corn headlines hit last winter, most Midwest renters have dreaded the fall deadlines for renegotiating cash rent farmland leases. Some landlords were eyeing a potential $1 or more per bu. increase in renter incomes for 2007, and looking to make up lost ground in 2008. Most of Iowa for example, didn't hike rents much last year because corn was still in the sub-$2 doldrums when terms were set last fall, farm managers say. Cash rents inched up just 9% statewide last year as a result.

"It was clear 2008 rents needed to be readjusted, but deciding what was a fair cash rent was one of the most emotional discussions we've had in years," Randy Hertz of the Midwest firm of Hertz Farm Management, Nevada, Iowa, told me this morning. "People are really stirred up."

That was confirmed when more than 100 subscribers joined DTN business advisor Danny Klinefelter and me for a recent webinar on how to negotiate cash rents (you can link to a rebroadcast of that session at www.dtnag.com/promot/cashrent starting Monday, Sept. 10).

Emotions are probably even higher in some parts of Iowa this week, as landlords who couldn't come to agreement on rental rates for 2008 have just sent renters termination notices by the state's Sept. 1 deadline. Now the shuffle for new renters begins, and the ultimate rates to be paid are still up in the air.

Hertz, who says about 25% of his firm's managed farmland operates under cash terms, can see both sides in the dilemma.

From a landlord's point of view, many of the rents set last year at $130 to $180 an acre looked severely under priced after corn started to rally last harvest. An extra $1 a bu. on 180-acre corn is $180 that all went to the renter's profit, he notes. The other side to the story is that marketing returns will be uneven. Some growers got "trigger happy" and sold way too early to capture the windfall, he noted, and "procrastinators won big time."

Farm tenants are making the case that diesel fuel prices are eating into margins, but Hertz doesn't buy it. It takes less than 1 hour of labor to raise an acre of corn, or less than 6 gal of diesel fuel per acre. Even though fuel prices are high, diesel is just not a big ticket item on most farms, he says.

Where landowners should have sympathy is fertilizer and seed costs. Hertz sees potash at $300 per ton, phosphate at $500 and nitrogen at $500. "That's up considerably from two years ago," he said. Forcing too high a cash rent on operators only increases the temptation of growers to mine fertility and scrimp on nutrients. "That should be a concern for both owners and operators," Hertz says.

Next on the agenda is answering reader questions about the rent negotiations. To submit yours, email Marcia.Taylor@dtn.com or post directly at Minding Ag's Business at www.dtnag.com.

Posted at 2:33PM CDT 09/07/07 by Marcia Zarley Taylor
Comments (5)
I don’t buy the commit that it only takes 1 hour of labor to raise an acre of corn. This nonsense has been around for years. What that is saying is even using just the 20 weeks of growing season and putting in just 40 hrs a week on the farm, one farmer should be able to raise 5600 acres of corn with no help, work elsewhere for another 20 weeks and the have 12 weeks of vacation. How many hours does the landlord put in for their share? There probably on vacation for 51 weeks and if the have a farm manager the even have more time. You have to realize the when these professionals put out information like 1 hour to raise a acre of corn, people believe it.
Posted by CLAUDE CAPPEL at 8:59AM CDT 09/08/07
Claude: Thanks for making a point to keep us honest, but I don't think Randy Hertz is far off base. He's probably referring to a study by Iowa State University economist Mike Duffy who estimates that in 1998 it took 1.2 hours to raise an acre of corn, and (thanks to strides in Roundup Ready adoption) just under an hour on soybeans. Contrast that with World War I, when my grandfather around Johnston, Iowa, needed 34 man hours to raise an acre of corn and 19.9 hours on soybeans, according to Duffy. Duffy's numbers might actually underestimate corn productivity today, because half of the 2007 corn crop had Roundup Ready traits. In addition, auto steer technology is being rapidly adopted by commercial farms. In fact, two thirds of all farms over 2,000 acres says they will be using the technology by 2008. So that's allowing operators to cover more acres with more accuracy and less fatigue. Of course, not everyone uses the same kind of tillage or technology, but I think Duffy's numbers reflect what is widely practiced in his state.
Posted by Marcia Taylor at 8:46AM CDT 09/10/07
Marcia,The hours you mentioned were for machinery field work. How much these have changed I can't be sure. The engineers will have to give us updated estimates but I am not sure how much lower they can go. Time for the other aspects of corn/soybean production will also be changing and are very hard to determine. Sorry I can't be of any more help. For now, the machinery field work estimates are the best we have. One thing is as farmers increase acreage they have to increase travel time to the fields. Everything is a trade-off!--Mike Duffy, Iowa State University economist
Posted by Marcia Taylor at 11:04AM CDT 09/10/07
I would echo Mike Duffy's response. The time estimates are for the actual field work. Just based on our own operation I think they are correct. What it doesn't include are the recordkeeping, marketing, rent negotiations, purchasing inputs and the myriad of other things that go into farming. In additon, those field work hours are crammed into some very long and intensive hours during the planting and harvest periods. One man couldn't physically put in the hours required to farm several thousand acres in the time window those activities have to be completed. A significant number of midwest farmers, not all obviously, do have another job. The thing that I am seeing more of though is a diversification into other business enterprises as a way to offset seasonality, to diversify income risk and to more intensively use management, hired labor and owner capital on a year round basis.
Posted by Danny Klinefelter at 1:11PM CDT 09/10/07
Okay, I've been fielding comments from other farmers today who side with Claude and Danny. They think the 1 hour per acre estimate is misleading because it requires such a seasonal demand--it all has to be done in 20 weeks of the year. Also, here's a comment from our resident farmer "Adam Erwin" on the diesel estimate: You comment that it takes less than 1 hour of labor to raise an acre of corn, or less than 6 gal of diesel fuel per acre. Even though fuel prices are high, diesel is just not a big ticket item on most farms.... First of all, this estimate is way off base. Obviously, Randy Hertz doesn't need fuel for grain trucks, deep tillage, nurse trucks to sprayers, etc. This may be the diesel for the field operations only part of planting no till soybeans and corn, but is 2/3 rd's or half of what it takes to really farm. But even if his estimate was true..... 6 gal diesel x $3 = $18 acre. That's equal to your pottasium bill. Half of the phosphorous or nitrogen bill Equal to a historical GRIP insurance premium And "diesel fuel is not a big ticket item?" I knew this rent business was going to be emotional, but remember, I'm just the messenger.
Posted by Marcia Taylor at 5:24PM CDT 09/10/07
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