Bryce Anderson DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst
Mon Oct 13, 2014 03:45 PM CDT

If you go by official pronouncements, El Nino in the Pacific Ocean has not developed. In the U.S., the NOAA Climate Prediction Center sums its assessment up this way:

"ENSO-neutral conditions continue. Positive equatorial sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies continue across most of the Pacific Ocean. (above-normal temperatures) El Nino is favored to begin in the next 1-2 months and last into the Northern Hemisphere spring 2015."

That's the CPC comment. Here's what the Australia Bureau of Meteorology said the week of October 7:

"Tropical Pacific Ocean ENSO indicators remain within the neutral range, having failed to maintain sustained values ...

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