Todd's Take
Todd Hultman DTN Grains Analyst
Tue Jan 20, 2015 06:08 AM CST

I spent the past two articles explaining a simple valuation model for corn and soybeans that provides a good reference for understanding where futures prices are likely to trade in 2015. Before we plug in the numbers for this year's wheat prices, there are a few things to explain.

First, as many will point out, wheat is a world crop, grown on every continent but Antarctica. Most of the world's wheat grows in the Northern Hemisphere and only 8% comes from the U.S. USDA estimates the U.S. will be the second-largest exporter of wheat in 2014-15, and because of that, ...

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