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Darin Newsom DTN Senior Analyst
Wed Jun 11, 2014 08:40 AM CDT

Cotton: Seasonably Soft

Comparing this year's cotton market (weekly closes for the nearby futures contract) to its five-year seasonal index shows a correlation of about 64%. This is a relatively strong relationship between the two, particularly given the divergence in the first quarter between the normal peak in late February versus this year's high weekly close in early May.

Since then though the two have been in step. So much so that the rally this week fits in nicely with the slight bump in the index, a move that carries into next week's close before the market starts heading down ...

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