Marcia Zarley Taylor DTN Executive Editor
Tue Apr 2, 2013 03:04 PM CDT

Can We Trust Government Statistics?

Farmers like John Hohenberger of Leland, Ill. think his state's estimated 2012 county yields are another questionable case of the accuracy of government statistics. He's not believing National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) results for DeKalb County, Ill., which pegged yields at 159 bu./acre last month. Some next-door neighbor counties averaged 101 and 102 bu. , but three hit the 140s and one received too few farmer responses to gauge. Hohenberger's 159 bu. county estimate means he will collect only a modest $85/acre on his expensive county-based Group Risk Income Plan insurance payment for 2012 while growers one county ...

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