Ag Weather Forum
Mike Palmerino Telvent DTN Senior Ag Meteorologist

Tuesday 09/04/12

Weather comments.

There are a few things on the weather scene in the next couple of months that cound have major implications to crops.

1. With winter wheat planrting getting underway this month the situation in the southern plains remains concerning. Extreme summer heat and drought totally depleted soil moisture. We did see some beneficial rain in spots during mid August, however recently the weather has turned hot and dry again likely depleting a fair amount of this moisture. There is the chance of some significant rainfall later in the week, especially in some eastern areas. However the potential return to hotter, drier weather next week could again deplete this moisture. Last fall season rains did appear allowing for good growth and establishement of the crop following summer drought. I think the same thing could happen again this year however I also would not be surprised if dryness was an issue. It could go either way.

2. With the rains from Isaac and some additional rains later this week things seem to be looking up for the the planting of soft wheat in the Delta and eastern Midwest.

3. It continues to look like the dry end to the growing season in the Upper Midwest, northern Plains and Canadian Prairies could continue into the fall. This could be an area that is qute dry going into the spring planting season of 2013.

4. We are seeing signs of a later than normal development of the spring rainy season in the Mato Grosso Brazil. Soybean planting can begin on September 15. However it appears that early planting could be delayed due to hot/dry weather. This would mean a later start to the early harvest early next year. This could be significant due to the shortfalls in the US crop. Soil moisture looks good right now in the major grain areas of central Argentina.

Mike

(AG/CZ)

Posted at 12:52PM CDT 09/04/12 by Mike Palmerino
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