Ag Weather Forum
Bryce Anderson DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst

Wednesday 11/07/12

Post-Sandy Forecast Controversy
Analysis of weather forecasts after the Hurricane Sandy superstorm points to an increasing lack of improvement in the U.S. forecast model, along with some serious funding deficiencies in satellite upgrades.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:00AM CST 11/07/12 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (2)
So where are the blogs or write-ups from these ecmwf worshippers when that model turns out to be wrong or caves to the gfs? The gfs is a good model but it has it's flaws and so does the ecmwf. 4-5 day warning time should give the public plenty of time to take notice and prepare. I think it's foolish to base a forecast off one model 7 + days out as many times the forecast turns out to be wrong. Kudos to the euro with sandy but credit should be given to the cmc also.
Posted by Rick S at 8:00AM CST 11/08/12
Thanks for the comment Rick. I think that the aspect of satellite outage concerns is possibly as important an issue as model performance. And yes, 4-5 days out for a call on the landfall of Sandy did offer more lead time than we have seen in other hurricane instances.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 1:18PM CST 11/08/12
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