Ag Weather Forum
Bryce Anderson DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst

Friday 03/07/14

About The El Nino Watch
The EN watch is still not a guarantee that El Nino will develop later this year.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:37AM CST 03/07/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (4)
Thanks, Bryce. Great explanation of what this all means.
Posted by Bill Morris at 12:49PM CST 03/07/14
Bryce, thanks for this perspective on the El Nino weather pattern, and the objective likelihood of specific weather patterns occurring as a result. Sounds like we still need to patiently wait for more info before drawing a conclusion on El Nino development.
Posted by DAN OBRIEN at 1:21PM CST 03/07/14
Thanks Bryce, You answered my El Nino question from Thursday. But moving on; with indicators pointing to possible (probable El Nino) does that raise the odds that we won't have any LaNina affects for the corn belt. Or also, what are the odds of a good corn belt growing season if it all stays neutral (aka La Nada) .
Posted by MARK & LEA NOWAK at 8:10AM CST 03/08/14
Thanks for reading and for the comments. Regarding Mark's question on La Nina--La Nina development chances are no higher than 20 percent this season. This is promising for Corn Belt production, because there is a high correlation between La Nina (cool equator Pacific water) and below-trendline U.S. corn yields. If the Pacific stays neutral all season, it certainly gives the Corn Belt a decent chance for a good growing season--but it still might be a challenge to get corn yields to the 165 Bu/A that USDA is projecting.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 3:00PM CST 03/08/14
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