Ag Weather Forum
Bryce Anderson DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst

Thursday 08/28/14

Canada Harvest Ramps Up Under Favorable Conditions
Some of the drier areas of Western Canada received sizable amounts of rain during the past weekend quenching the thirst of any dry soils that were developing. The downside to the rain included lodging of some crops and delays and stops of harvest operations.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:49AM CDT 08/28/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment

Monday 08/25/14

Where Have the 90-Degree Days Gone?
Much of the central and eastern U.S. has seen a remarkably few number of 90-degree days versus what we might expect during a normal summer as we reach the final week of August.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:46AM CDT 08/25/14 by Doug Webster | Post a Comment
Comments (6)
Must be you have not been outside much this week!The cool temps earlier this summer are probably our only saving grace,with very little rain since June.We will be shelling corn and running beans next month.
Posted by Raymond Simpkins at 10:13AM CDT 08/26/14
we are in mi. and no 90 this year , lots of rain and big crops comimg .
Posted by Arlen Meeuwsen at 3:52PM CDT 08/26/14
I just got back from a family vacation in McCall Idaho. I was led to believe the inter mountain west and west coast is where all the heat was positioned this Summer. We took a boat cruise on Payette Lake on Saturday afternoon and it was so cold at 2 pm that the boat crew dug out the blankets to keep as somewhat warm. So no heat out there. So where is it?
Posted by MARK & LEA NOWAK at 4:59PM CDT 08/26/14
What is causing the "High Latitude Blocking" ?
Posted by Darwin blank at 11:19PM CDT 08/26/14
We had a fairly "cool" July for western Kansas standards, but August has made up for that. Most of the month of August has been mid to upper 90's with several 100 degree days mixed in. August 2013 was much cooler than this year. We've also only had very spotty rains. Localized areas have seen several inches in an event and fields within in a few miles getting trace amounts. Thru July we had grand visions of finally seeing a good dryland sorghum crop after numerous years of drought, but that is fading fast. Although we had some rains this summer the High Plains region in general is still very dry in regards to profile moisture. I know I'm hoping for an El Nino to maybe bring some much needed moisture to this region.
Posted by Brad Niehues at 8:54AM CDT 08/27/14
OMG, it is global cooling!!! We better pass some sort of treaty or global agreement to address this situation right now.
Posted by Mr. Brandy at 11:50AM CDT 08/28/14
Frost And Farm Progress Show
Frost concerns are likely to make up a large portion of weather questions at the 2014 version of the largest outdoor farm show in the U.S.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 6:00AM CDT 08/25/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (2)
Where it has rained crops look good, but look to be a couple weeks behind. Some places have too much rain. Our area has picked up a little over 5'' thus far in August, however the ground has handled it well as it was getting dry prior to that. What does your crystal ball show for the next ninety days? I can't imagine having to deal with a lot of drying cost with an already pathetic corn market. Bean market nothing to brag about either. Weeds seem to be thriving everywhere.
Posted by GWL 61 at 10:09AM CDT 08/25/14
University information indicates it takes something like 20% of total dent to mature growing degree days (GDD) to go from 100% milk line to 50% milk line. A frost that kills only the plants leaves is expected to have a 5% yield loss at a 50% milk line (12% yield loss with whole plant killed at 50% milk line). (A 50% milk line would be 140 to 190 GDD short of maturity depending on relatvie maturity of the corn.) So a killing frost needs to occur near dent to have a major yield dropping impact. Drying "frosted" corn has its own problems. Freeport, IL
Posted by Freeport IL at 11:50AM CDT 08/25/14

Thursday 08/21/14

Rain and a Turn to Cool Weather for Canada
Rainfall during the past few days has fallen on some of the dry portions of the Canadian Prairies bolstering soil moisture levels and bringing needed moisture to help filling crops. The downside is that more rain is expected through the weekend and some areas may see too much across the east, slowing or stopping developing harvest operations.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:53AM CDT 08/21/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment

Tuesday 08/19/14

The Indian Monsoon Weakens Again
The Monsoon rains in India have pulled back from the northwest and west-central areas during the past week, somewhat unusual for the third week of August.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:05AM CDT 08/19/14 by Joel Burgio | 0 Comments | Post a Comment

Thursday 08/14/14

Warm and Dry for Canada, More Rain Needed
Overall, Western Canada is still seeing good weather for maturing crops and early harvest. However, the warm-to-hot, dry weather is starting to dry out top soil across an increasingly large portion of the region and more rain is needed in some areas to carry crops to maturity.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:27AM CDT 08/14/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment

Monday 08/11/14

Some Corn Vulnerable To Freeze
A Nebraska climate office report details how planting issues and cool summer temperatures are putting some corn at risk for freeze damage even with a normal first frost date.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 9:42AM CDT 08/11/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (6)
You should also add southern Ontario to that list of place in dager ofa hard freeze. Some fields in my county, Oxford, have not even flower yet!!
Posted by JONATHAN HOOK at 1:57AM CDT 08/12/14
I'd think the soybeans are in a worse position, especially double crop?
Posted by Jay Mcginnis at 7:27AM CDT 08/12/14
Has this very cold winter, spring, and now cold summer in the Corn Belt been caused by GLOBAL WARMING???!!!
Posted by JEFF HANSON at 9:22PM CDT 08/12/14
Darn Jeff,,, you got us here especially since the corn belt is the only place in the world where temperatures are measured! Keep your radio tuned in to Rush Limbo and Hanidty for some more "real science"!!!!
Posted by Jay Mcginnis at 8:03AM CDT 08/13/14
Boys! Boys! Lets agree on climate change and stick to the topic. We have late planted corn and soybeans in northern Ill., with a record corn crop and beans yet to be determined, but still very good. Normal frost is going to mean long lines at the elevator, because of the size of it, and high moisture. Early frost "OUCH"
Posted by Rex Steffes at 7:36PM CDT 08/13/14
Do not forget the low test weights if low GDU's are a factor.
Posted by Bonnie Dukowitz at 5:57AM CDT 08/17/14

Thursday 08/07/14

Crops Advance Rapidly in Western Canada
The weather continues to bring rapid crop advancement across the Canadian Prairies but a little more rain is needed in a few spots to wet down soils that lost moisture during recent warm, dry weather.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:16AM CDT 08/07/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment

Friday 08/01/14

Important Week Ahead For Rain
The central Midwest is squarely in the track of a moderate to heavy rain pattern during next week.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 1:48PM CDT 08/01/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (3)
here in southern Michigan we are more than 4 in. below normal,With most of that being July.No measurable amounts since June 25 th and we are headed back to the upper 80s this week.Beans are very small,acres that are not knee high in the area.We have patches of corn on sandy spots with no ears.Our very good crops we started with are headed south fast with no rain in the 10 day forecast.
Posted by Raymond Simpkins at 12:51PM CDT 08/06/14
In southwest North Dakota July had no rain to offer, late mudded in crops are having a hard time, and now with wheat harvest days from starting we have areas that have seen 8" ot rain in the past few days, in one area the roads have bean washed out. We won't know the damage on the wheat for a few days yet, anything green is lodged from the heavy rains.
Posted by JAMIE KOUBA at 11:28PM CDT 08/06/14
rain for some but not all. not that giant crop when and how will it be disclosed by those who are never wrong
Posted by andrew mohlman at 8:18AM CDT 08/08/14

Thursday 07/31/14

Warmer Temps Benefit Prairie Crops
Growing conditions during the past week or two have been generally very good across the Prairies helping crops to do some catch up in regards to crop development. Parts of southern Alberta have seen a little too much heat and dry weather recently and a little increase in showers and cooler weather might be welcome there.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:43AM CDT 07/31/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment

Tuesday 07/29/14

General Mills Climate Change Policy
The third-largest food processing company in the U.S. announces plans to track greenhouse gas emission by its suppliers in order to help mitigate the impact of climate change.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 9:41AM CDT 07/29/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (9)
This is good as long as they follow through and that the practices are truly "sustainable". All industries need to have similar polices as in the end creating a smaller carbon footprint is not only good for the environment but also reduces their usage of fossil fuels which are rapidly depleting. Hopefully General Mills will become a model company in this area.
Posted by Jay Mcginnis at 6:00AM CDT 07/30/14
Would be nice if they defined their goals and defined what they mean by sustainable agriculture. Without specifics it looks like they are just patting themselves on the back to look green for uninformed consumers like they did when they said Cheerios were GMO free. Average consumer doesn't know oats are all non-GMO. Nice advertising but show us what you really plan to do.
Posted by David Kessler at 9:44AM CDT 07/30/14
I was in the Teamsters Union for 30 years and have developed a real good B.S. detector and right now it is going off big time.
Posted by GORDON KEYES at 10:45AM CDT 07/30/14
Right on Gordon. It starts with Global Warming and climate change misinformation and then comes these sort of solutions. End result is more corporate and government control and less private ownership and control.
Posted by bbob at 1:00PM CDT 07/30/14
Winds are shifting. You climate change guys need to check the news. You have your heads so far in the sand you are not hearing what's going on NOW!
Posted by BD, NE LA. at 6:18AM CDT 07/31/14
" End result is more corporate and government control and less private ownership and control." BINGO! I ask has the writer investigated or anyone seen what these audits to upstream suppliers look like? It is an open book for corporate theft of trade secrets and incredibly evasive into the records of a company. Walmart tried to force this upon our company and some of the audit literally treats you as if you are a third world company. We chose to not expose our company this insanity. Yes we should become more efficient and the free market dictates I walk into my company every day and improve every aspect to remain competitive!
Posted by Unknown at 8:22AM CDT 07/31/14
I am asking General Mills for more details on the actions cited in the news release. I would think that the farm organization policy staff folks would also be in touch on this topic.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 8:47AM CDT 07/31/14
There is not such a thing as, "upstream", in ecology. When the entire picture is viewed, the Circle of Life would be a much more accurate description of the subject. As long as people are consuming food, they are someplace on the circle. Defining upstream or downstream is nothing more than smoke and mirrors. Sustainable agriculture has a legal definition, as adopted by Congress. Too bad people abuse this in order to justify and support their own agenda.
Posted by Bonnie Dukowitz at 8:45AM CDT 08/04/14
If you read this arrival and one from a while back about wall-marts ideas you must ask yourself how long before this turns into another mess of rules and regulations hanging over our head. No matter how you look at it we as farmers do the best job we can do with the resources at hand, use this for example, no one told anyone in a drought area that they should leave the seeder in the shed this year because it wouldn't rain. What can they do for us, the drought strickin farmer had more emissions per bushel of crop he produced. How can you change this situation. All I can say is that this is a dream for them, a headache for us, and another scam for a tree hugger to blame his problems on someone else and give the EPA something more to think about. Pass it on "down stream" our "circle of life"
Posted by JAMIE KOUBA at 12:00AM CDT 08/07/14

Monday 07/28/14

Southwest Water Loss Is Incredible
The Colorado River basin is truly getting drained by drought and a true shortfall of conservation action.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 9:57AM CDT 07/28/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (2)
If the arrogance of the people continues, I hope I live far enough away when the taps won't run. Like every thing else, just a little conservation and common sense would accomplish much.
Posted by Bonnie Dukowitz at 6:00AM CDT 07/29/14
Desalinization plants run by solar, wind, geothermal ,or nuclear are going to have to be built if the population continues to rise where there is not consistent rain fall. Some common sense would be in order to not build nuclear plants on a earth quake zone or were they are prone to tide waves. These are the carbon neutral solutions that put people to work and produce a badly needed product, like potable water. This is to much common sense to a problem and not likely to happen any time soon.
Posted by Rex Steffes at 9:46AM CDT 07/29/14

Friday 07/25/14

Climate Trends And Farmer Questions
Reflections on food production issues discussed in the context of climate change.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 1:48PM CDT 07/25/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment

Thursday 07/24/14

Canadian Crops Benefit From Warmer, Drier Weather
A more favorable weather pattern in place across the Prairies since mid-July has brought a beneficial boost to crop development. Aerial coverage of excess soil moisture has been on the decrease; after the current rainy spell passes another lengthy spell of warm, mostly dry weather is expected.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:53AM CDT 07/24/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment

Wednesday 07/23/14

Mostly Favorable August Rain Forecast
Midwest and Plains crop areas have a good chance at late-summer rainfall.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 12:39PM CDT 07/23/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (7)
Reminder note--when you respond to topics, keep your comments pertaining to the topic and keep it civil regarding your fellow posters. Do that and we're good. Thanks.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 2:45PM CDT 07/23/14
Mr. Anderson, This is what I was referring to. From the Daily Mail online, July 5th. For years, computer simulations have predicted that sea ice should be disappearing from the Poles. Now, with the news that Antarctic sea-ice levels have hit new highs, comes yet another mishap to tarnish the credibility of climate science. Climatologists base their doom-laden predictions of the Earth's climate on computer simulations. But these have long been the subject of ridicule because of their stunning failure to predict the pause in warming--nearly 18 years long on some measures--since the turn of the last century. It's the same with sea ice. We hear a great deal about the decline in Arctic sea ice, in line with or even ahead of predictions. But why are environmentalists and scientists so much less keen to discuss the long-term increase in the southern hemisphere? In fact, across the globe, there are about one million square kilometres more sea ice than 35 years ago, which is when satellite measurements began. It's fair to say that this has been something of an embarrassment for climate modellers. But it doesn't stop there. In recent days a new scandal over the integrity of temperature data has emerged, this time in America, where it has been revealed as much as 40 per cent of temperature data there are not real thermometer readings. Many temperature stations have closed, but rather than stop recording data from these posts, the authorities have taken the remarkable step of "estimating" temperatures based on the records of surrounding stations. So vast swathes of the data are actually from "zombie" stations that have long since disappeared. This is bad enough, but it has also been discovered that the US's National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is using estimates even when perfectly good raw data is available to it--and that it has adjusted historical records. Why should it do this? Many have noted that the effect of all these changes is to produce a warmer present and a colder past, with the net result being the impression of much faster warming. They draw their conclusions accordingly. Naturally, if the US temperature records are indeed found to have been manipulated, this is unlikely to greatly affect our overall picture of rising temperatures at the end of the last century and a standstill thereafter. The US is, after all, only a small proportion of the globe. Similarly, climatologists' difficulties with the sea ice may be of little scientific significance in the greater scheme of things. We have only a few decades of data, and in climate terms this is probably too short to demonstrate that either the Antarctic increase or the Arctic decrease is anything other than natural variability. But the relentless focus by activist scientists on the Arctic decline does suggest a political imperative rather than a scientific one--and when put together with the story of the US temperature records, it's hard to avoid the impression that what the public is being told is less than the unvarnished truth. As their credulity is stretched more and more, the public will--quite rightly--treat demands for action with increasing caution... Andrew Mountford
Posted by Brandon Butler at 3:27PM CDT 07/23/14
looks like sept-oct august not soon enough any way for some
Posted by andrew mohlman at 11:36PM CDT 07/23/14
Nothing in the forecast 14 days out. By then it will be too late as crop are stressed already. Better check that August forecast again.
Posted by LYLE FISHER at 7:52AM CDT 07/24/14
Hope you're right Bryce - providing the forecast for precip materializes this weekend, I will have gone nearly a month with only 1.2 inches. BTW Brandon, I agree that modeling is only as good as the people entering the raw data - witness American vs European forecast models.
Posted by Curt Zingula at 8:11AM CDT 07/24/14
You may be interested in this article from the National Snow and Ice Data Center on what's happening in the Antarctic.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 10:15AM CDT 07/24/14
Bryce, Thanks to you and all DTN weather team. Providing you best guess is all the client base can reasonably expect. We are all guilty of certain biases and interpretations. The process of debate is always helpful and thought provoking. I also appreciate opposing views on some of the bigger climate issues included in the comment section. Allowing clients to voice their opinions is a hallmark of a democratic society.
Posted by McFly at 10:35AM CDT 07/24/14
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Recent Blog Posts
  • Canada Harvest Ramps Up Under Favorable Conditions
  • Where Have the 90-Degree Days Gone?
  • Frost And Farm Progress Show
  • Rain and a Turn to Cool Weather for Canada
  • The Indian Monsoon Weakens Again
  • Warm and Dry for Canada, More Rain Needed
  • Some Corn Vulnerable To Freeze
  • Crops Advance Rapidly in Western Canada
  • Important Week Ahead For Rain
  • Warmer Temps Benefit Prairie Crops
  • General Mills Climate Change Policy
  • Southwest Water Loss Is Incredible
  • Climate Trends And Farmer Questions
  • Canadian Crops Benefit From Warmer, Drier Weather
  • Mostly Favorable August Rain Forecast
  • 2013 State Of The Climate Report
  • Canada Crops Benefit From Warmer Weather
  • El Nino No Cure For California Drought
  • No Heat Threat Yet
  • Sunshine, Dry Weather Favors Crops