Ag Weather Forum
Bryce Anderson DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst

Friday 09/19/14

Climate Change Echo In Farm Policy
The impact of climate change is making its way into the federal budget--and money talks.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 2:38PM CDT 09/19/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Thursday 09/18/14

Mild, Dry Weather Improves W. Canada Harvest Conditions
Last week's bout of winter weather is history but did damage some crops and pretty much stopped any harvest for a few days. A much improved weather pattern is now in place across the region which should allow farmers to resume harvest at nearly full speed.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:01AM CDT 09/18/14 by Doug Webster | Post a Comment
Comments (1)
There is certainly a slow start to harvest in the Prairies. The Saskatchewan ag department reports that 23 percent of the crop was reported as harvested as of September 15, which is behind every year of the last five except 2010, where only 14 percent was harvested as of September 13.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 5:34AM CDT 09/19/14
 

Wednesday 09/17/14

Southwest Rains And El Nino
The heavy, flooding rains in Baja California and Arizona may be associated with a developing El Nino for this fall.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:57PM CDT 09/17/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Tuesday 09/16/14

Chilly Weekend Summary
A brief summary of the extent of cold-weather formation in the northern Corn Belt during the Sept 12-13 weekend.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 1:05PM CDT 09/16/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Thursday 09/11/14

Snow and Cold Arrive Early This Season in Canada's Prairies
Snow and cold have taken their toll on crops and humans alike across Canada during the past few days. This early preview of winter weather will head out of the region during the coming days with rising temperatures and drier conditions.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:34AM CDT 09/11/14 by Doug Webster | Post a Comment
Comments (1)
Minus 2 degrees north of Saskatoon this morning. First frost of the year. Some late canola and wheat that may show some damage.
Posted by Bruce Neufeldt at 8:06AM CDT 09/12/14
 

Saturday 09/06/14

Notable Early Frost Threat Building
Chances for the first occurrence of freezing temperatures is high for the northern Corn Belt by Sept 12-13 weekend.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 8:09AM CDT 09/06/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (17)
I am sure that wont be traded like the giant crop talk
Posted by andrew mohlman at 8:10AM CDT 09/08/14
Early frost has happened before. I suppose we are due for one, been many years since it has happened. Won't have ideal conditions year after year. Could get early snow too, with many acres left in field.
Posted by GWL 61 at 9:17AM CDT 09/08/14
Ideal conditions do not occur earth is not a green house. market manipulates farmers to sell to cheap watch them ignore it till it meets there greedy needs.This crop was called huge before it was in ground. biggest ripoff in history of farmers.Those calling for a 2 in front of corn are economic terrorist hopefully it comes back to them.
Posted by andrew mohlman at 8:49AM CDT 09/09/14
Every thing is bearish right now until the right people own it
Posted by Lori Olson at 7:30PM CDT 09/09/14
It sounds like there is some sour grapes for those that missed marketing this big crop at profitable prices. The reason I love DTN is for the vast amount of information available to make our management decisions. Most of the weather outlook folks going all the way back to last January predicted a good growing season with no one seeing drought or heat. They were 100% correct. An above average crop was then advised. So I sold using futures, HTA's and put options locking in $5 corn and $12+ soybeans on all of my production plus a bunch of 2015 as well. So once I deliver , I don't care who owns it. I know some marketing services that told farmers not to sell as the market was wrong. They are the ones that should be discredited; not the market for doing it's job. The economic law of supply and demand will never be repealed.
Posted by MARK & LEA NOWAK at 8:19AM CDT 09/10/14
Sorry a total year of production corn $ 7.25 beans $ 13.00 looks a lot better to me part of problem of unstable market. Prices can explode up just as hard as down on no one is 100% correct
Posted by andrew mohlman at 11:04AM CDT 09/10/14
Depends too on location and the basis, the slow rail service is going to be killer around here. Wheat on ground elevators full. No good at all. Oil boom in ND taking up trains, that's where there money is.
Posted by GWL 61 at 1:26PM CDT 09/10/14
I just edited a blog comment that included some harsh comment about an individual and about my company. We can disagree without calling names or impugning others. If you have an issue with that, you may e-mail me directly at bryce.anderson@dtn.com.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 3:18PM CDT 09/10/14
I do have a problem with you changing content of comment All opinions need heard not censored you have Issues when You dont like what you read.Put it back or take it off not hiding in email lot of harsh things in world comment was not that bad. $7.25 $13. lows would be best for all consumption is high waste will happen
Posted by andrew mohlman at 9:52PM CDT 09/10/14
Back on topic--a freeze warning is in effect for the western half of North Dakota for Friday morning September 12.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 6:24AM CDT 09/11/14
Here in S.C Minnesota near the Iowa border it's 45 degrees for a morning low. The local forecast for the coolest morning is Saturday in the mid 30's. So I suspect there will be some low land patchy frost. If so our crops will be spared a damaging freeze. We will stay in touch and report as it happens.
Posted by MARK & LEA NOWAK at 9:33AM CDT 09/11/14
Economic law....abnormal returns return to normal. In the long run, it doesn't have anything to do with manipulation or some dreamt up scheme and device. Markets have gone up on shortages and down on over-production for as long as human beings have produced and traded with one another. Simple supply and demand. Those fortunate enough to not get glassy eyed when corn was 7, realizing the risk was there for overproduction VS. THE CURRENT DEMAND STRUCTURE sold it, and are still profiting. BTW, there never was a time when the 2014-15 corn crop could have been sold for 7.
Posted by Brandon Butler at 11:45AM CDT 09/11/14
I live in west central Wis & just seen the weekend weather forecast & it doesn't look good If it clears off friday nite. Could be a possible freeze. It is snowing in S Dakota & Nebraska rite now.
Posted by KEITH PEARSON at 12:25PM CDT 09/11/14
Wish it was that simple brandon we are being preyed on by capitalist.Actual carryover is not as great as the price reduction. Farmers all ran to the door to sell or other options that tied them down at least I have some eye sight not a sack over my head freeze would shut us all up
Posted by andrew mohlman at 9:08AM CDT 09/12/14
Blame others if it works for you. (At the base of it, I doubt it is working for you, but keep repeating the same things, expecting different results!) While you are at it, maybe you can blame your teachers in school that didn't teach you how to use punctuation, write in complete sentences, or actually have a coherent thought.
Posted by Brandon Butler at 1:48PM CDT 09/12/14
Oh, and by the way, take a look at historical carryout to use ratios with their corresponding prices. The price is right where it should be.
Posted by Brandon Butler at 1:55PM CDT 09/12/14
Brandon Boy Brandon after 25 years of growing and selling crops my marketing was poor 3 of 25 I have seen this before you do not seem to account for inflated cost of inputs you are a consumer not a grower I believe record consumption if you cant make this out or read it to bad just another ignorant farmer to you history is what it is past
Posted by andrew mohlman at 9:53PM CDT 09/12/14
 

Thursday 09/04/14

Frost Potential Increases for Canada Next Week
While harvest activities continue to increase and some crops continue to mature, we see increased potential that frost or even some freeze conditions could take place across parts of the Prairies by the middle of next week.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:17AM CDT 09/04/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Wednesday 09/03/14

Cool Conditions to Dominate Next Two Weeks in Northern Crop Areas
The risk of early frost development is likely by the end of the first half of September.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 7:22AM CDT 09/03/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Friday 08/29/14

Chilly And Wet Fall Ahead
The fall season shows more of the same trend that we have recently seen across much of the Corn Belt.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:36PM CDT 08/29/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Thursday 08/28/14

Canada Harvest Ramps Up Under Favorable Conditions
Some of the drier areas of Western Canada received sizable amounts of rain during the past weekend quenching the thirst of any dry soils that were developing. The downside to the rain included lodging of some crops and delays and stops of harvest operations.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:49AM CDT 08/28/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Monday 08/25/14

Where Have the 90-Degree Days Gone?
Much of the central and eastern U.S. has seen a remarkably few number of 90-degree days versus what we might expect during a normal summer as we reach the final week of August.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:46AM CDT 08/25/14 by Doug Webster | Post a Comment
Comments (6)
Must be you have not been outside much this week!The cool temps earlier this summer are probably our only saving grace,with very little rain since June.We will be shelling corn and running beans next month.
Posted by Raymond Simpkins at 10:13AM CDT 08/26/14
we are in mi. and no 90 this year , lots of rain and big crops comimg .
Posted by Arlen Meeuwsen at 3:52PM CDT 08/26/14
I just got back from a family vacation in McCall Idaho. I was led to believe the inter mountain west and west coast is where all the heat was positioned this Summer. We took a boat cruise on Payette Lake on Saturday afternoon and it was so cold at 2 pm that the boat crew dug out the blankets to keep as somewhat warm. So no heat out there. So where is it?
Posted by MARK & LEA NOWAK at 4:59PM CDT 08/26/14
What is causing the "High Latitude Blocking" ?
Posted by Darwin blank at 11:19PM CDT 08/26/14
We had a fairly "cool" July for western Kansas standards, but August has made up for that. Most of the month of August has been mid to upper 90's with several 100 degree days mixed in. August 2013 was much cooler than this year. We've also only had very spotty rains. Localized areas have seen several inches in an event and fields within in a few miles getting trace amounts. Thru July we had grand visions of finally seeing a good dryland sorghum crop after numerous years of drought, but that is fading fast. Although we had some rains this summer the High Plains region in general is still very dry in regards to profile moisture. I know I'm hoping for an El Nino to maybe bring some much needed moisture to this region.
Posted by Brad Niehues at 8:54AM CDT 08/27/14
OMG, it is global cooling!!! We better pass some sort of treaty or global agreement to address this situation right now.
Posted by Mr. Brandy at 11:50AM CDT 08/28/14
 
Frost And Farm Progress Show
Frost concerns are likely to make up a large portion of weather questions at the 2014 version of the largest outdoor farm show in the U.S.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 6:00AM CDT 08/25/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (2)
Where it has rained crops look good, but look to be a couple weeks behind. Some places have too much rain. Our area has picked up a little over 5'' thus far in August, however the ground has handled it well as it was getting dry prior to that. What does your crystal ball show for the next ninety days? I can't imagine having to deal with a lot of drying cost with an already pathetic corn market. Bean market nothing to brag about either. Weeds seem to be thriving everywhere.
Posted by GWL 61 at 10:09AM CDT 08/25/14
University information indicates it takes something like 20% of total dent to mature growing degree days (GDD) to go from 100% milk line to 50% milk line. A frost that kills only the plants leaves is expected to have a 5% yield loss at a 50% milk line (12% yield loss with whole plant killed at 50% milk line). (A 50% milk line would be 140 to 190 GDD short of maturity depending on relatvie maturity of the corn.) So a killing frost needs to occur near dent to have a major yield dropping impact. Drying "frosted" corn has its own problems. Freeport, IL
Posted by Freeport IL at 11:50AM CDT 08/25/14
 

Thursday 08/21/14

Rain and a Turn to Cool Weather for Canada
Rainfall during the past few days has fallen on some of the dry portions of the Canadian Prairies bolstering soil moisture levels and bringing needed moisture to help filling crops. The downside is that more rain is expected through the weekend and some areas may see too much across the east, slowing or stopping developing harvest operations.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:53AM CDT 08/21/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Tuesday 08/19/14

The Indian Monsoon Weakens Again
The Monsoon rains in India have pulled back from the northwest and west-central areas during the past week, somewhat unusual for the third week of August.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:05AM CDT 08/19/14 by Joel Burgio | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Thursday 08/14/14

Warm and Dry for Canada, More Rain Needed
Overall, Western Canada is still seeing good weather for maturing crops and early harvest. However, the warm-to-hot, dry weather is starting to dry out top soil across an increasingly large portion of the region and more rain is needed in some areas to carry crops to maturity.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:27AM CDT 08/14/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
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Recent Blog Posts
  • Climate Change Echo In Farm Policy
  • Mild, Dry Weather Improves W. Canada Harvest Conditions
  • Southwest Rains And El Nino
  • Chilly Weekend Summary
  • Snow and Cold Arrive Early This Season in Canada's Prairies
  • Notable Early Frost Threat Building
  • Frost Potential Increases for Canada Next Week
  • Cool Conditions to Dominate Next Two Weeks in Northern Crop Areas
  • Chilly And Wet Fall Ahead
  • Canada Harvest Ramps Up Under Favorable Conditions
  • Where Have the 90-Degree Days Gone?
  • Frost And Farm Progress Show
  • Rain and a Turn to Cool Weather for Canada
  • The Indian Monsoon Weakens Again
  • Warm and Dry for Canada, More Rain Needed
  • Some Corn Vulnerable To Freeze
  • Crops Advance Rapidly in Western Canada
  • Important Week Ahead For Rain
  • Warmer Temps Benefit Prairie Crops
  • General Mills Climate Change Policy