Ag Weather Forum
Bryce Anderson DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst

Friday 11/21/14

Record World Warmth in October
Following are highlights of the NOAA Global Climate Report for October. Some of the temperature departures from normal are impressive for the far-above-normal warming.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:04AM CST 11/21/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (1)
Its funny you didn't mention much about the United States in your report. I'm sure at least in Iowa we had one of the coolest summers on record. Are you sure the NOAA incorporated some of the below normal temps in the Midwest in this report?????
Posted by DUSTIN RICKERTSEN at 10:55PM CST 11/23/14
 

Thursday 11/20/14

Low Confidence in Weather Outlook for Western Canada
Winter took Western Canada and much of the central and eastern U.S. by storm during the recent 10 days. The outlook for the remainder of November into December remains unclear.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:43AM CST 11/20/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Tuesday 11/18/14

Harsh Cold Brings Late Harvest Issues
From snowy fields to gummed-up engines, this taste of January has not been a frozen treat.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 2:37PM CST 11/18/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Friday 11/14/14

Brazil Rainfall Update
Southern Brazil still posts the largest precipitation totals for the farming season so far.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 2:20PM CST 11/14/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Thursday 11/13/14

Arctic Cold In Canada
Arctic air and a strong cold air-making weather pattern are firmly entrenched across Canada at this time. This leads to questions about how long this feature is going to last.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:48AM CST 11/13/14 by Doug Webster | Post a Comment
Comments (1)
I will take the cold, if it helps the grain market warm up. I see the combines are rolling in the snow covered fields again.
Posted by GWL 61 at 11:42AM CST 11/13/14
 

Wednesday 11/12/14

Duration Of Cold May Be Impressive
The wintry cold wave across much of North America may have some notable staying power for this time of year.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 4:16AM CST 11/12/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (2)
What happened to global warming? Is it warm some where in the world? Cold wave similar to 1940 maybe 1800 something, climate hasn't changed much.
Posted by FRANK FULWIDER at 8:33AM CST 11/13/14
We'll of course have to wait for the entire month of November to be tabulated--however, NOAA's U.S. climate report for October shows that October was a warm month. The average temperature for the contiguous U.S. last month was 57.1 degrees Fahrenheit--three degrees F above the 20th century average. This made October 2014 the fourth-warmest October on record. The October precipitation total for the contiguous U.S. was 2.33 inches, or 0.17 inch above average, ranking near the middle of the 120-year period of record. The global State of the Climate report will be issued next week, on Thursday November 20. The full U.S. climate report for October is at this link: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 9:18AM CST 11/14/14
 

Monday 11/10/14

Jekyll-Hyde October In Missouri
The Show-Me State was shown a wide variety of crop weather conditions during October 2014. Producer harvest emotions probably had the same kind of swing.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:11AM CST 11/10/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Thursday 11/06/14

Weather Pattern Hitting Canada Similar to Last Year
A week ago, an El Nino-type weather pattern brought mild conditions to much of North America. Now, a quick pattern change is plunging North America into a weather pattern reminiscent of last winter.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:26AM CST 11/06/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Tuesday 11/04/14

Weather Tidbits And Commentary
The battle between El Nino and blocking patterns this upcoming winter.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 4:05PM CST 11/04/14 by Mike Palmerino | Post a Comment
Comments (2)
Will there be any warning as to when & if this high latitude blocking begins to move & where it will set up shop?
Posted by JERRY KOCHANIUK at 8:48AM CST 11/05/14
Unfortunately there will be little warning. We had gone virtually all of October with little sign of blocking and more El Nino like characteristics of the weather. All of a sudden this past weekend the 8-10 day models started to completely change showing extensive blocking developing over Alaska and northern Canada for next week. This will lead to a major outbreak of cold air into the central US next week.
Posted by Michael Palmerino at 10:45AM CST 11/05/14
 

Saturday 11/01/14

Possible Wet Early Nov In S. Plains
Heavy rain could move across Texas and Oklahoma during the next five days.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 7:14AM CDT 11/01/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (1)
Very nice needed 2-inch here in Northwest Oklahoma last night. Winter wheat plants are mostly all up and looks good. Some of the area farmers their wheat is just coming up out of the ground and some are getting ready to turn cattle out on the earlier planted wheat.
Posted by Gordon Stebens at 11:42AM CST 11/04/14
 

Thursday 10/30/14

El Nino Showing Up In Prairies Weather
Many aspects of an El Nino continue to show up across the Pacific Ocean. These conditions should help prevent any significant winter weather from developing across Western Canada anytime soon.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:04AM CDT 10/30/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Wednesday 10/29/14

World Wheat Moisture Issues
There are some potential trouble spots in key global wheat production areas which deserve some attention.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:22PM CDT 10/29/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Friday 10/24/14

It's All About The Block
Whether or not northern-latitude high pressure re-forms to complicate the upper atmosphere wind pattern is the key determinant in the forecast over the rest of this fall season.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 1:56PM CDT 10/24/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (1)
How much warning could there be if this blocking pattern starts to set up? How is this being monitored?
Posted by JERRY KOCHANIUK at 8:18AM CDT 10/31/14
 

Thursday 10/23/14

Warmth Helps Prairie Harvest
During October, harvest activities across Western Canada have been racing along due to about as good of a weather pattern for harvest as one can have.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:43AM CDT 10/23/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Monday 10/20/14

NOAA: Record-Warm September
A new all-time historic warm temperature for the month was posted in September per NOAA's Global Climate Summary.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:08AM CDT 10/20/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (6)
Aren't there problems with urban encroachment on many global temperature taking thermometers? I know the one for Fresno was once advertised to have been moved south about 10 or 20 miles; but the heat island of Fresno normally blows in that direction. Isn't global atmospheric temperature better measured by satellites (which do not show such dire increases as described in the article)?
Posted by H. Clay Daulton at 8:07PM CDT 10/21/14
This topic has been discussed before in this space. Thermometer placement has been verified as fairly representing what is going on in the atmosphere.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 5:59AM CDT 10/22/14
Clay, I too asked Bryce about satellites. He defiantly referred back to the accuracy of urban weather stations rather than answer whether or not the satellites are accurate. NOAA has closed some 600 weather stations reportedly for the reason you asserted. However, NOAA supposedly has models that correct for rooftop heating and parking lot heating (where many weather stations are found).
Posted by Curt Zingula at 6:59AM CDT 10/22/14
Regarding temperature monitoring, the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) has a detailed review of temperature questions on its web site in the "Climate Monitoring" section at the NCDC home page. About the issue of whether temperature records show an Urban Heat Island bias, the NCDC FAQ article directly addresses that question. Here is the answer: "We identified which GHCN (Global Historical Climate Network) stations were rural and which were urban. Then we created global temperature time series from the rural only stations and compared that to our full dataset. The result was that the two showed almost identical time series (actually the rural showed a little bit more warming) so there apparently was no lingering urban heat island bias in the adjusted GHCN dataset." More information is at this link: http://tinyurl.com/mkpkf8c
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 9:33AM CDT 10/22/14
What is to be made of the large Antarctica sea ice? It appears to me that arctic ice is moving from one pole to the other, which I believe I read once could be due to nothing more than the earth's axis varying slightly which occurs from time to time. I am definitely NOT a meteorologist, or climatologist, but do try and read about weather. Just curious on thoughts.
Posted by Unknown at 11:00AM CDT 10/22/14
Has anyone checked to see if the companies producing these thermometers has ties with Al Gore?
Posted by Jay Mcginnis at 7:29AM CDT 10/31/14
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Recent Blog Posts
  • Record World Warmth in October
  • Low Confidence in Weather Outlook for Western Canada
  • Harsh Cold Brings Late Harvest Issues
  • Brazil Rainfall Update
  • Arctic Cold In Canada
  • Duration Of Cold May Be Impressive
  • Jekyll-Hyde October In Missouri
  • Weather Pattern Hitting Canada Similar to Last Year
  • Weather Tidbits And Commentary
  • Possible Wet Early Nov In S. Plains
  • El Nino Showing Up In Prairies Weather
  • World Wheat Moisture Issues
  • It's All About The Block
  • Warmth Helps Prairie Harvest
  • NOAA: Record-Warm September
  • Details On Brazil Dryness Issues
  • Western Canada Sees Warm, Dry Period Developing
  • Have And Have-Not Brazil Rain
  • Why El Nino Is Likely Here
  • USDA September Weather Review