Ag Weather Forum
Bryce Anderson DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst

Thursday 10/02/14

Weather Improves Harvest Across Canada
Beneficial harvest weather during the past couple of weeks has helped harvest progress to catchup across parts of the Prairie provinces with the west making the largest strides. Periods of showers have kept harvest activies a little slower for the east.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:30AM CDT 10/02/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Wednesday 10/01/14

Climate Change Scorecard
Summarizing how major extreme weather events of 2013 did or did not show evidence of climate change influence.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:13PM CDT 10/01/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Monday 09/29/14

One Of Those Years
Every crop region in the northern hemisphere had at least a decent year in 2014.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 2:55PM CDT 09/29/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Thursday 09/25/14

Canada Weather Favors Lagging Harvest
A period of cold, snow and rain earlier in September combined with a somewhat delayed crop this season has put harvest behind schedule by a good margin for many areas across Canada. The recent spell of warm, dry weather has helped harvest to get back on its feet and mostly favorable conditions should continue for a while longer.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:44AM CDT 09/25/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Tuesday 09/23/14

Pacific SOI Points Toward El Nino
An strengthening El Nino trend suggests wetter harvest conditions for the Midwest.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:29AM CDT 09/23/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Monday 09/22/14

Big Yield Forecast In College Model
A cooperative land-grant colleage corn yield forecast model continues to show robust output this season.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:02AM CDT 09/22/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Friday 09/19/14

Climate Change Echo In Farm Policy
The impact of climate change is making its way into the federal budget--and money talks.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 2:38PM CDT 09/19/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (7)
Global warming/ climate change is a scam, a lie. It's time to open your eyes for crying out loud.
Posted by JEFF RIDDER at 9:02PM CDT 09/20/14
? That is stupid.
Posted by bbob at 4:44PM CDT 09/21/14
Would someone please convey to Professor Babcock the Ag. Act always was a social welfare program. The intent was and is to guarantee an adequate and affordable food supply for the American public. The implementation is accomplished through keeping food producers afloat through the poor crop years. On the surface it appears as welfare for farmers while in reality it is welfare for the general public. Look at the big picture, not just the highlighted portion of the altered photo.
Posted by Bonnie Dukowitz at 5:36AM CDT 09/22/14
Babcock is chronically an embarassment to most of us who went to ISU! He's an EWG puppet to boot! And Bonnie you are SO right about the "big picture". Plus farm support comes at the expense of those who can afford it and not as a grocery expense by those who can't.
Posted by Curt Zingula at 7:08AM CDT 09/22/14
Ag programs are built from huge corporation lobbyists in order to maintain an abundant supply of cheap ag commodities so they can process them into huge profits. The farmer gets minimal payment but enough to stay in business while the tax payer foots the bill. Climate change adds an uncertainty into the equation that corporations don't like, interesting to see how they will deal with it, I am sure they will figure out some way to maintain or increase their profits.
Posted by Jay Mcginnis at 8:22AM CDT 09/22/14
Rockefellers pledged today to divest $50 billion from fossil fuels to clean energy saying " there is a moral imperative to preserve a healthy planet". UN conference maps out fishing areas declining from climate change, 100's of thousands marched yesterday in climate protests around the world,,,,,, oh, its time for Rush Limbo radio, you guys have it turned up real loud????
Posted by Jay Mcginnis at 10:26AM CDT 09/22/14
Personally, I support research, use and development of alternative energy. What irks me is the idiots with nothing else to do, wasting energy getting to and from marches, protests, environmental conventions, etc., pointing their fingers at someone else. I am curious as to how much carbon is emitted by totally wasting energy participating in such activities. Protests only result in unscientific, counterproductive legislation, rules and regulations. If only the protesters would set an example by staying home, working in their garden and getting the liberal press to report on their activity. those terrible conservatives would develop a different perspective.
Posted by Bonnie Dukowitz at 4:54AM CDT 09/23/14
 

Thursday 09/18/14

Mild, Dry Weather Improves W. Canada Harvest Conditions
Last week's bout of winter weather is history but did damage some crops and pretty much stopped any harvest for a few days. A much improved weather pattern is now in place across the region which should allow farmers to resume harvest at nearly full speed.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:01AM CDT 09/18/14 by Doug Webster | Post a Comment
Comments (1)
There is certainly a slow start to harvest in the Prairies. The Saskatchewan ag department reports that 23 percent of the crop was reported as harvested as of September 15, which is behind every year of the last five except 2010, where only 14 percent was harvested as of September 13.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 5:34AM CDT 09/19/14
 

Wednesday 09/17/14

Southwest Rains And El Nino
The heavy, flooding rains in Baja California and Arizona may be associated with a developing El Nino for this fall.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:57PM CDT 09/17/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Tuesday 09/16/14

Chilly Weekend Summary
A brief summary of the extent of cold-weather formation in the northern Corn Belt during the Sept 12-13 weekend.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 1:05PM CDT 09/16/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Thursday 09/11/14

Snow and Cold Arrive Early This Season in Canada's Prairies
Snow and cold have taken their toll on crops and humans alike across Canada during the past few days. This early preview of winter weather will head out of the region during the coming days with rising temperatures and drier conditions.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:34AM CDT 09/11/14 by Doug Webster | Post a Comment
Comments (1)
Minus 2 degrees north of Saskatoon this morning. First frost of the year. Some late canola and wheat that may show some damage.
Posted by Bruce Neufeldt at 8:06AM CDT 09/12/14
 

Saturday 09/06/14

Notable Early Frost Threat Building
Chances for the first occurrence of freezing temperatures is high for the northern Corn Belt by Sept 12-13 weekend.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 8:09AM CDT 09/06/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (17)
I am sure that wont be traded like the giant crop talk
Posted by andrew mohlman at 8:10AM CDT 09/08/14
Early frost has happened before. I suppose we are due for one, been many years since it has happened. Won't have ideal conditions year after year. Could get early snow too, with many acres left in field.
Posted by GWL 61 at 9:17AM CDT 09/08/14
Ideal conditions do not occur earth is not a green house. market manipulates farmers to sell to cheap watch them ignore it till it meets there greedy needs.This crop was called huge before it was in ground. biggest ripoff in history of farmers.Those calling for a 2 in front of corn are economic terrorist hopefully it comes back to them.
Posted by andrew mohlman at 8:49AM CDT 09/09/14
Every thing is bearish right now until the right people own it
Posted by Lori Olson at 7:30PM CDT 09/09/14
It sounds like there is some sour grapes for those that missed marketing this big crop at profitable prices. The reason I love DTN is for the vast amount of information available to make our management decisions. Most of the weather outlook folks going all the way back to last January predicted a good growing season with no one seeing drought or heat. They were 100% correct. An above average crop was then advised. So I sold using futures, HTA's and put options locking in $5 corn and $12+ soybeans on all of my production plus a bunch of 2015 as well. So once I deliver , I don't care who owns it. I know some marketing services that told farmers not to sell as the market was wrong. They are the ones that should be discredited; not the market for doing it's job. The economic law of supply and demand will never be repealed.
Posted by MARK & LEA NOWAK at 8:19AM CDT 09/10/14
Sorry a total year of production corn $ 7.25 beans $ 13.00 looks a lot better to me part of problem of unstable market. Prices can explode up just as hard as down on no one is 100% correct
Posted by andrew mohlman at 11:04AM CDT 09/10/14
Depends too on location and the basis, the slow rail service is going to be killer around here. Wheat on ground elevators full. No good at all. Oil boom in ND taking up trains, that's where there money is.
Posted by GWL 61 at 1:26PM CDT 09/10/14
I just edited a blog comment that included some harsh comment about an individual and about my company. We can disagree without calling names or impugning others. If you have an issue with that, you may e-mail me directly at bryce.anderson@dtn.com.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 3:18PM CDT 09/10/14
I do have a problem with you changing content of comment All opinions need heard not censored you have Issues when You dont like what you read.Put it back or take it off not hiding in email lot of harsh things in world comment was not that bad. $7.25 $13. lows would be best for all consumption is high waste will happen
Posted by andrew mohlman at 9:52PM CDT 09/10/14
Back on topic--a freeze warning is in effect for the western half of North Dakota for Friday morning September 12.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 6:24AM CDT 09/11/14
Here in S.C Minnesota near the Iowa border it's 45 degrees for a morning low. The local forecast for the coolest morning is Saturday in the mid 30's. So I suspect there will be some low land patchy frost. If so our crops will be spared a damaging freeze. We will stay in touch and report as it happens.
Posted by MARK & LEA NOWAK at 9:33AM CDT 09/11/14
Economic law....abnormal returns return to normal. In the long run, it doesn't have anything to do with manipulation or some dreamt up scheme and device. Markets have gone up on shortages and down on over-production for as long as human beings have produced and traded with one another. Simple supply and demand. Those fortunate enough to not get glassy eyed when corn was 7, realizing the risk was there for overproduction VS. THE CURRENT DEMAND STRUCTURE sold it, and are still profiting. BTW, there never was a time when the 2014-15 corn crop could have been sold for 7.
Posted by Brandon Butler at 11:45AM CDT 09/11/14
I live in west central Wis & just seen the weekend weather forecast & it doesn't look good If it clears off friday nite. Could be a possible freeze. It is snowing in S Dakota & Nebraska rite now.
Posted by KEITH PEARSON at 12:25PM CDT 09/11/14
Wish it was that simple brandon we are being preyed on by capitalist.Actual carryover is not as great as the price reduction. Farmers all ran to the door to sell or other options that tied them down at least I have some eye sight not a sack over my head freeze would shut us all up
Posted by andrew mohlman at 9:08AM CDT 09/12/14
Blame others if it works for you. (At the base of it, I doubt it is working for you, but keep repeating the same things, expecting different results!) While you are at it, maybe you can blame your teachers in school that didn't teach you how to use punctuation, write in complete sentences, or actually have a coherent thought.
Posted by Brandon Butler at 1:48PM CDT 09/12/14
Oh, and by the way, take a look at historical carryout to use ratios with their corresponding prices. The price is right where it should be.
Posted by Brandon Butler at 1:55PM CDT 09/12/14
Brandon Boy Brandon after 25 years of growing and selling crops my marketing was poor 3 of 25 I have seen this before you do not seem to account for inflated cost of inputs you are a consumer not a grower I believe record consumption if you cant make this out or read it to bad just another ignorant farmer to you history is what it is past
Posted by andrew mohlman at 9:53PM CDT 09/12/14
 

Thursday 09/04/14

Frost Potential Increases for Canada Next Week
While harvest activities continue to increase and some crops continue to mature, we see increased potential that frost or even some freeze conditions could take place across parts of the Prairies by the middle of next week.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:17AM CDT 09/04/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Wednesday 09/03/14

Cool Conditions to Dominate Next Two Weeks in Northern Crop Areas
The risk of early frost development is likely by the end of the first half of September.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 7:22AM CDT 09/03/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Friday 08/29/14

Chilly And Wet Fall Ahead
The fall season shows more of the same trend that we have recently seen across much of the Corn Belt.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:36PM CDT 08/29/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
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Recent Blog Posts
  • Weather Improves Harvest Across Canada
  • Climate Change Scorecard
  • One Of Those Years
  • Canada Weather Favors Lagging Harvest
  • Pacific SOI Points Toward El Nino
  • Big Yield Forecast In College Model
  • Climate Change Echo In Farm Policy
  • Mild, Dry Weather Improves W. Canada Harvest Conditions
  • Southwest Rains And El Nino
  • Chilly Weekend Summary
  • Snow and Cold Arrive Early This Season in Canada's Prairies
  • Notable Early Frost Threat Building
  • Frost Potential Increases for Canada Next Week
  • Cool Conditions to Dominate Next Two Weeks in Northern Crop Areas
  • Chilly And Wet Fall Ahead
  • Canada Harvest Ramps Up Under Favorable Conditions
  • Where Have the 90-Degree Days Gone?
  • Frost And Farm Progress Show
  • Rain and a Turn to Cool Weather for Canada
  • The Indian Monsoon Weakens Again