Ag Weather Forum
Bryce Anderson DTN Ag Meteorologist and DTN Analyst

Thursday 10/23/14

Warm, Dry Weather Pattern Begins to Wane for Canada
During October, harvest activities across Western Canada have been racing along due to about as good of a weather pattern for harvest as one can have. Warm, dry conditions have allowed farmers to get crops swathed and harvested before winter sets in.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:43AM CDT 10/23/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Monday 10/20/14

NOAA: Record-Warm September
A new all-time historic warm temperature for the month was posted in September per NOAA's Global Climate Summary.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:08AM CDT 10/20/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (5)
Aren't there problems with urban encroachment on many global temperature taking thermometers? I know the one for Fresno was once advertised to have been moved south about 10 or 20 miles; but the heat island of Fresno normally blows in that direction. Isn't global atmospheric temperature better measured by satellites (which do not show such dire increases as described in the article)?
Posted by H. Clay Daulton at 8:07PM CDT 10/21/14
This topic has been discussed before in this space. Thermometer placement has been verified as fairly representing what is going on in the atmosphere.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 5:59AM CDT 10/22/14
Clay, I too asked Bryce about satellites. He defiantly referred back to the accuracy of urban weather stations rather than answer whether or not the satellites are accurate. NOAA has closed some 600 weather stations reportedly for the reason you asserted. However, NOAA supposedly has models that correct for rooftop heating and parking lot heating (where many weather stations are found).
Posted by Curt Zingula at 6:59AM CDT 10/22/14
Regarding temperature monitoring, the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) has a detailed review of temperature questions on its web site in the "Climate Monitoring" section at the NCDC home page. About the issue of whether temperature records show an Urban Heat Island bias, the NCDC FAQ article directly addresses that question. Here is the answer: "We identified which GHCN (Global Historical Climate Network) stations were rural and which were urban. Then we created global temperature time series from the rural only stations and compared that to our full dataset. The result was that the two showed almost identical time series (actually the rural showed a little bit more warming) so there apparently was no lingering urban heat island bias in the adjusted GHCN dataset." More information is at this link: http://tinyurl.com/mkpkf8c
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 9:33AM CDT 10/22/14
What is to be made of the large Antarctica sea ice? It appears to me that arctic ice is moving from one pole to the other, which I believe I read once could be due to nothing more than the earth's axis varying slightly which occurs from time to time. I am definitely NOT a meteorologist, or climatologist, but do try and read about weather. Just curious on thoughts.
Posted by Unknown at 11:00AM CDT 10/22/14
 

Friday 10/17/14

Details On Brazil Dryness Issues
Comments from an active corn and soybean grower in Mato Grosso, Brazil delineate the problems and concerns that farmers have because of the very dry situation in central Brazil so far this season.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 2:40PM CDT 10/17/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Thursday 10/16/14

Western Canada Sees Warm, Dry Period Developing
An excellent weather pattern has fallen into place across Western Canada, allowing harvest to make great strides toward completion. Mild weather and very little rainfall will continue through mid-month and into the end of the month, which should allow farmers to start to complete harvest in many areas close to the normal time.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 12:16PM CDT 10/16/14 by Joel Burgio | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Wednesday 10/15/14

Have And Have-Not Brazil Rain
A look at Brazil percent of normal rain since October 1 shows very little activity in central and southeastern crop areas, whereas the far south has had far above normal amounts.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:47AM CDT 10/15/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Monday 10/13/14

Why El Nino Is Likely Here
Weather happenings across the past six weeks give strong indications that at least a weak El Nino has begun.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:45PM CDT 10/13/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (4)
Dear Bryce, I know that there is a Mid-West/Central Plains centric focus on weather patterns at DTN but could you please comment on other heavy agriculture producing regions such as the PNW coastal and interior regions that are much more crop diversified than other regions of the country. Our weather concerns have been subsumed by this bias since I have been a DTN subscriber for the last 28 years.
Posted by T JAMES DAVIS at 1:34PM CDT 10/14/14
Thanks for your question and comment. Regarding El Nino for the Pacific Northwest, this is not a good scenario for the drought conditions that have been in effect. El Nino patterns typically bring above-normal temperatures and much below-normal precipitation to the northwestern U.S. That pattern appears to be in place going through the rest of this fall season. Also--in our weather coverage, we do tend to focus on what the situations are that are affecting the markets and that tends to skew toward the central part of the country. But you make a good point, that as we cover those areas and such newer ones as South America and Ukraine, that we need to remember our readers in other regions as well. I promise to take your comments to heart and pledge to do better.
Posted by Bryce Anderson at 2:32PM CDT 10/14/14
Dear Bryce,I agree with Mr Davis. As a producer in the Southeast we often times get left trying to figure out where we fit in with weather patterns and other market forecast for our area. So thank you for your pledge to do better!
Posted by cottonman at 9:53PM CDT 10/14/14
Bryce, thanks for the general overview of "market making" weather. I can understand the challenges you must face when deciding which areas to cover with your brief analysis. Alberta, Canada
Posted by Larry P at 10:31AM CDT 10/15/14
 

Friday 10/10/14

USDA September Weather Review
The continued ability of crops to maintain high condition ratings is a key feature of USDA's look back at last month's crop weather.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 2:44PM CDT 10/10/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Thursday 10/09/14

Canadian Harvest Races Ahead
An excellent weather pattern has fallen into place across western Canada to allow for harvest to make great strides toward completion. More of the same is in the forecast.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:42AM CDT 10/09/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Wednesday 10/08/14

North-South Split On Corn Harvest
The majority of U.S. corn production appears to be out of major rain-related harvest delays through the remainder of the first half of October.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 2:47PM CDT 10/08/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Thursday 10/02/14

Weather Improves Harvest Across Canada
Beneficial harvest weather during the past couple of weeks has helped harvest progress to catchup across parts of the Prairie provinces with the west making the largest strides. Periods of showers have kept harvest activies a little slower for the east.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:30AM CDT 10/02/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Wednesday 10/01/14

Climate Change Scorecard
Summarizing how major extreme weather events of 2013 did or did not show evidence of climate change influence.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:13PM CDT 10/01/14 by Bryce Anderson | Post a Comment
Comments (1)
Bryce, I just read an article saying that ocean temperatures off Australia and New Zealand were much higher then originally thought, would that produce much more rain for the US?
Posted by Jay Mcginnis at 7:36AM CDT 10/07/14
 

Monday 09/29/14

One Of Those Years
Every crop region in the northern hemisphere had at least a decent year in 2014.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 2:55PM CDT 09/29/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Thursday 09/25/14

Canada Weather Favors Lagging Harvest
A period of cold, snow and rain earlier in September combined with a somewhat delayed crop this season has put harvest behind schedule by a good margin for many areas across Canada. The recent spell of warm, dry weather has helped harvest to get back on its feet and mostly favorable conditions should continue for a while longer.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:44AM CDT 09/25/14 by Doug Webster | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Tuesday 09/23/14

Pacific SOI Points Toward El Nino
An strengthening El Nino trend suggests wetter harvest conditions for the Midwest.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:29AM CDT 09/23/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Monday 09/22/14

Big Yield Forecast In College Model
A cooperative land-grant colleage corn yield forecast model continues to show robust output this season.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 11:02AM CDT 09/22/14 by Bryce Anderson | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
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Recent Blog Posts
  • Warm, Dry Weather Pattern Begins to Wane for Canada
  • NOAA: Record-Warm September
  • Details On Brazil Dryness Issues
  • Western Canada Sees Warm, Dry Period Developing
  • Have And Have-Not Brazil Rain
  • Why El Nino Is Likely Here
  • USDA September Weather Review
  • Canadian Harvest Races Ahead
  • North-South Split On Corn Harvest
  • Weather Improves Harvest Across Canada
  • Climate Change Scorecard
  • One Of Those Years
  • Canada Weather Favors Lagging Harvest
  • Pacific SOI Points Toward El Nino
  • Big Yield Forecast In College Model
  • Climate Change Echo In Farm Policy
  • Mild, Dry Weather Improves W. Canada Harvest Conditions
  • Southwest Rains And El Nino
  • Chilly Weekend Summary
  • Snow and Cold Arrive Early This Season in Canada's Prairies