Harrington's Sort & Cull
John Harrington DTN Livestock Analyst

Wednesday 04/02/14

Efficiency in Another Key
If the PED death toll significantly dries up over the warmer months ahead (as many suspect), pig production could conceivably rocket higher as efficiencies begin firing from both barrels.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 4:50PM CDT 04/02/14 by John Harrington | Post a Comment
Comments (1)
Seems as if when things are going great someone wants to "Rain on Our Parade". If you are so sure about your PEDv comments let's see you "sell the market". We're you so sure of yourself when the market was going up everyday. Seems as if I read like comments years ago on the grain side. I wonder how well you and your kind handle margin calls. I sure wouldn't be betting against this market right now and especially not before Easter. Seems as if momentum backs-off before Easter every year
Posted by Gale Schaefer at 10:43AM CDT 04/10/14
 

Monday 03/24/14

The Feeder Pit as Broken Rain Gauge
Given the way feeder futures reacted on Monday, either all CME rain gauges are either hidden from the view of traders or otherwise broken.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 4:59PM CDT 03/24/14 by John Harrington | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Friday 03/07/14

The Great Ghost Rally
The elusiveness of PED's deadly impact currently borders on the unnerving paranormal.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 12:48PM CST 03/07/14 by John Harrington | Post a Comment
Comments (1)
Are you giving any odds on "Ghost Piglets" from the March hogs and pig report disappearing when slaughter time comes this summer? It seems the self serving act of "miscounting" a few dead piglets as alive by the interrogated packer might help their chance of finding a profit. This summer's slaughter numbers might find the truth but the Halloween report may have the most skeletons in the closet. Freeport, IL
Posted by Freeport IL at 4:22PM CDT 04/07/14
 

Friday 02/21/14

Ambushed?
Blaming the drop in retailers' share of the beef dollar on some kind of country "ambush" surely didn't play well among the executives at Safeway and Whole Foods.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 5:16PM CST 02/21/14 by John Harrington | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Friday 02/07/14

Let the Games End
If Russia wants an equal booth at the international marketplace, then it must be required to play by globally acceptable rules.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 5:22PM CST 02/07/14 by John Harrington | Post a Comment
Comments (2)
John, you need to study up on the Syrian deal---it is really about Iran. Then you need to study up on Iran---the USA has wanted to control that country since the 1950's (and did until the 1979 revolution)when the CIA helped overthrow Mohammad Mosaddegh, a democratically elected leader that only wanted to get a fair price for the oil they produced. Just think how different history would be if that hadn't happened. What I'm trying to say is it takes two to tango and the USA isn't lily white.
Posted by Martin Tjossem at 1:07PM CST 02/13/14
I realize that many Americans are not always in favor of their own governments' policies, but this has the appearance of the pot calling the kettle black. COOL also does not follow "globally accepted rules," and does not encourage free trade.
Posted by Unknown at 8:37PM CST 03/03/14
 

Friday 01/31/14

Brawley Plug Pulled
Slaughter capacity continues to decline, along with herd numbers.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 1:04PM CST 01/31/14 by John Harrington | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Friday 01/24/14

Confession of a Cash Market Piker
When it comes to aggressively anticipating this month's cash cattle potential, DTN Livestock Analyst John Harrington confesses to have been about as helpful as a doomsdayer still nervously monitoring the Mayan calendar.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:22PM CST 01/24/14 by John Harrington | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Monday 01/13/14

Seed Caps Fill Early Year Bleachers
2014 stands to be the year that farmer-feeders got back into the cattle game. And all it took was a $3 drop in the price of corn.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:07PM CST 01/13/14 by John Harrington | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Tuesday 01/07/14

Polar Vortex It Ain't
Just think of the "polar vortex" as the dead opposite of the red-hot feeder cattle market.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:25PM CST 01/07/14 by John Harrington | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 
The Danish Experience With Animal Antibiotics
For more than a decade Denmark has banned the use of antibiotics to promote both animal growth and to prevent disease, allowing only curative uses. The results of that experiment are a matter of interpretation.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 10:52AM CST 01/07/14 by Urban C Lehner | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Friday 01/03/14

A Proposal to Tax Animal Antibiotics
Assuming that something needs to be done about the use of antibiotics in animals, two Canadian economists saw governments shouldn't ban or regulate them. They should impose a user fee.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 12:46PM CST 01/03/14 by Urban C Lehner | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Monday 12/16/13

The Puzzle in FDA's Curb on Animal Antibiotics
It doesn't seem possible that sales of animal antibiotics won't be affected if everyone cooperates with the new FDA rules limiting their use.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 4:45PM CST 12/16/13 by Urban C Lehner | Post a Comment
Comments (3)
we have reduced our water medication in poultry production to zero its very important to us
Posted by Jack J DeGroot at 5:46PM CST 12/16/13
If unit cost for antibiotics goes up in proportion to potential reduction in usage, its a net zero for drug suppliers. Hmmmm, maybe there should be "raised with/without the use of antibiotics" label requirement and let the consumer decide with their wallet if antibiotic resistance is a concern?
Posted by Tom Trick at 1:52PM CST 12/17/13
The antibiotics that are metabolized and truly disappear are going to be naturally safe as long as withdrawal times are observed. The problem must lay with those antibiotics that are excreted but do not breakdown in the environment. They could hang around to be recycled in the drinking water and can be a vector for resistance. Some products used in animals have no similar product used in people. Does the FDA think the resistant strains are developing in the animal and then transmitting to humans, actual antibiotic residue passing to humans in food, or antibiotic buildup in the environment is the problem? How could the animal antibiotics that have no similar product in human medicine cause any problem at all? One size fits all regulation?
Posted by BRYAN COOVER at 7:17AM CST 12/29/13
 

Friday 11/29/13

Black & Blue Friday
Big box retailers may be celebrating the return of black ink at this time, but beef processors continue to be stuck at a party far less fun.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:38PM CST 11/29/13 by John Harrington | 0 Comments | Post a Comment
 

Friday 11/15/13

All Dressed Up With No Place to Grow
As long as commercial beef production essentially remains an outdoor sport, the practical distance between retained heifers and a larger meat case offering at Wal-Mart is about three years.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:03PM CST 11/15/13 by John Harrington | Post a Comment
Comments (1)
Another fine example of the "instant gratification generation"
Posted by Walter Smith at 8:35AM CST 11/19/13
 

Friday 11/08/13

Order the Turkey, And Make It a Big One
Now that the USDA has essentially confirmed a monster corn harvest of 14 billion bushels, livestock feeders can look forward to one of the most heartfelt Thanksgivings experienced in years.[Read Full Blog Post]
Posted at 3:57PM CST 11/08/13 by John Harrington | Post a Comment
Comments (2)
John, While lower corn prices may help integrated hog and poultry producers, cattle feeders will, in an effort to fill their abundant pen space, simply bid feeder prices higher up to their new breakeven. The consequences of ignoring the real cause of poor fed cattle economics are real. The NCBA continues their misguided attack on ethanol, when the real cause of their hardship is the combination of record low cattle numbers and a lot of empty pen space. I would appreciate more reporting on this issue. Thanks, Tim Hume
Posted by TIm Hume at 7:36AM CST 11/13/13
Tim Hume is spot on
Posted by Unknown at 10:54AM CST 11/26/13
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Recent Blog Posts
  • Efficiency in Another Key
  • The Feeder Pit as Broken Rain Gauge
  • The Great Ghost Rally
  • Ambushed?
  • Let the Games End
  • Brawley Plug Pulled
  • Confession of a Cash Market Piker
  • Seed Caps Fill Early Year Bleachers
  • Polar Vortex It Ain't
  • The Danish Experience With Animal Antibiotics
  • A Proposal to Tax Animal Antibiotics
  • The Puzzle in FDA's Curb on Animal Antibiotics
  • Black & Blue Friday
  • All Dressed Up With No Place to Grow
  • Order the Turkey, And Make It a Big One
  • Can Supply Bulls Go It Alone?
  • Time for "The Talk"
  • Into the Reporting Breach
  • They Call It "Cash Trading"
  • The June H&P Report: Goofiness Raised to a New Science